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McMurry

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: McMurry
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 996 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 950 (#351) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 985 (#474) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +2.7 (#318) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.559 (#334) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.0 More → 0.500 (#278) NetEff +0.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.1 More → 0.469 (#419) AdjNet -1.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.485 (#417) AdjNet -0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.492 (#415) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 64.6 More → 0.520 (#309) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 64.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.447 (#403) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.462 (#387) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 894 (#382) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville L 62 - 76
2025-12-16 @ Sul Ross St. W 73 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Helena Chadwick - 2 36.5 23.5 4.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 7.0 18.0 8.0 - - - 52.8 14.3 80.0 - 58.2 54.2
Aryana Cleveland - 2 25.9 11.5 5.5 2.5 3.5 1.0 3.0 10.5 10.5 - - - 33.3 0 75.0 - 43.8 33.3
Jordan Bravo - 2 38.8 10.5 5.5 3.5 5.0 2.0 1.5 17.0 8.0 - - - 26.5 15.8 0.0 - 30.5 30.9
Amaris Valadez - 2 18.6 6.5 5.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.5 9.5 - - - 57.1 100.0 100.0 - 82.5 78.6
Jordan Gillespie - 2 33.6 4.5 7.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.5 4.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 56.2 56.2
Mackenzie Amos - 2 18.2 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 5.0 0.0 - - - 30.0 28.6 0 - 40.0 40.0
Briley Waters - 2 15.6 3.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.0 - - - 12.5 0.0 80.0 - 29.4 12.5
Jazmyn Johnson - 1 4.9 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 29 1.5 7.3 100.0 0 100.0 2.59 104.2 100.0
J'Lee Sloan - 2 4.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 86.8 100.0
Ashlynn Galvin - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Rhyia Ray - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alliyah Ralston - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Grace Garcia - 1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -131 -9.4 -174.9 0 0 0 -0.6 0 0
Racie Decker - 2 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG