McMurry
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 921 (#409) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#371) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.2 (#528) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.239 (#466) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.248 (#523) | AdjNet -9.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.251 (#524) | AdjNet -9.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.330 (#527) | AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 88.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.360 (#491) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.195 (#533) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.229 (#524) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 887 (#381) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-07 | vs | Sul Ross St. | W | 102 - 92 |
| 2023-12-16 | vs | Texas-Dallas | L | 75 - 90 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Sul Ross St. | L | 76 - 84 |
| 2024-02-01 | @ | Texas-Dallas | L | 73 - 80 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Balderaz | - | 1 | 27.0 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 7 | 0.5 | 75.7 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -1.12 | 65.4 | 63.6 |
| Elias Garcia | - | 3 | 26.7 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 15.7 | - | - | - | 70.8 | 75.0 | 81.8 | - | 79.8 | 77.1 |
| Coco Rose | - | 3 | 26.3 | 15.3 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 11.3 | 10.7 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 37.5 | 80.0 | - | 59.9 | 55.9 |
| CJ LeBlanc | - | 3 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.3 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 37.8 | 26.7 | 77.8 | - | 47.6 | 43.2 |
| Rob Wade | - | 1 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -14 | -2.8 | -41.3 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -0.5 | 53.3 | 45.0 |
| Josh Alcocer | - | 3 | 20.7 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 52.4 | 44.4 | 100.0 | - | 65.9 | 61.9 |
| Nick Donnelly | - | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | -1.0 | -12 | -2.0 | -45.1 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.61 | 33.6 | 28.6 |
| Matthew Soto | - | 1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 52 | 3.7 | 299.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.82 | 94.0 | 100.0 |
| TJ Hilliard | - | 3 | 18.7 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 27.3 | - | 50.3 | 54.2 |
| Rob Charles | - | 3 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 66.7 | 28.6 | - | 74.5 | 88.9 |
| Tristan Holden | - | 3 | 29.7 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 11.7 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 0.0 | 80.0 | - | 44.1 | 31.2 |
| Matt Pena | - | 3 | 26.0 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 8.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 20.8 | 19.0 | 0 | - | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Jaelyn Rivera | - | 1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Deshawn Crawford | - | 2 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -14 | -2.3 | -53.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.61 | 43.6 | 41.7 |
| AJ Carter | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 18 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.82 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Franklin Onyeme | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Cody Opoku-Darko | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Tyler Stephenson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -14.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.92 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jack Bommarito | - | 3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Andrew Stevenson | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Angel Alonso | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Jaco | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| KJ Kriviss | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kole Verdadaro | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Everett Bates | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nnamdi Edeoga | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Elijah Portalis | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Van Horn | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG