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McMurry War Hawks

Also known as: McMurry War Hawks
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 997 (#318) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -16.9 (#744) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -9.0 (#465) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.472 (#364) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.326 (#447) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.353 (#440) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 903 (#466) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-27 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 54 - 89

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Mason C. Mason G 1 17.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 205 5.9 9.1 0 0 0 1.49 0 0
CJ LeBlanc CJ LeBlanc - 1 22.0 13.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Morris M. Morris G 1 13.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 173 4.8 8.1 0 0 0 0.19 0 0
F. Cadeaux de Dieu F. Cadeaux de Dieu F 1 12.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
E. Garcia E. Garcia - 1 17.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Smith S. Smith G 1 16.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 131 4.2 9.7 0 0 0 1.38 0 0
TJ Hilliard TJ Hilliard - 1 9.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Pena M. Pena - 1 17.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Miller R. Miller G 1 18.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 -101 -3.5 -4.5 0 0 0 1.71 0 0
R. Charles R. Charles G 1 22.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Minor R. Minor G 1 21.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Webb D. Webb F 1 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
E. Rodela E. Rodela - 1 12.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. McLaughlin L. McLaughlin - 1 15.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 85 5.7 27.7 0 0 0 0.9 0 0
C. Cork C. Cork F 1 21.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Patton J. Patton - 1 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.54 0 0
M. Imariagbe M. Imariagbe F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
A. Stevenson A. Stevenson - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Moye N. Moye - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nathan Self Nathan Self - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
E. Gregory E. Gregory - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Ramos A. Ramos - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Hawkins T. Hawkins - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG