McKendree
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1158 (#67) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1200 (#50) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 1198 (#11) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +17.1 (#39) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | +14.3 (#107) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.629 (#112) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More β | 0.674 (#229) | NetEff +6.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.896 (#42) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.899 (#38) | AdjNet +18.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.772 (#48) | AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.732 (#54) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 63.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.823 (#49) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.817 (#44) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 1266 (#20) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Southern Ill. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Tiffin | W | 63 - 44 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Malone | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Hannibal-La Grange | W | 80 - 39 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Rockhurst | W | 95 - 85 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Ill. Springfield | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Maryville (MO) | W | 70 - 50 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Roosevelt | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Ferris St. | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Hillsdale | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Lewis | W | 68 - 44 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | UIndy | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Truman St. | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | William Jewell | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Southwest Baptist | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Drury | W | 89 - 76 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Missouri S&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Maryville (MO) | W | 88 - 71 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | UIndy | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Lewis | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2026-02-19 | vs | Upper Iowa | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Quincy | W | 86 - 56 |
| 2026-02-26 | @ | Rockhurst | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Southwest Baptist | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ | Ill. Springfield | W | 89 - 63 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | William Jewell | L | 66 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cha'Vez Woods | - | 29 | 29.3 | 15.7 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 10.6 | 9.5 | - | - | - | - | 45.6 | 38.7 | 82.3 | - | 61.5 | 55.0 |
| Rini Harris | - | 30 | 28.8 | 13.4 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 9.4 | 12.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.5 | 33.9 | 66.0 | - | 57.9 | 54.1 |
| Noah Franklin | - | 27 | 27.9 | 11.7 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 10.7 | - | - | - | - | 55.7 | 41.4 | 76.7 | - | 65.6 | 61.6 |
| Andrew Moore | - | 30 | 28.3 | 11.5 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 10.0 | - | - | - | - | 49.8 | 35.9 | 66.7 | - | 58.7 | 55.5 |
| Joshua SchΓΆnbΓ€ck | - | 27 | 13.0 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 3.9 | - | - | - | - | 52.7 | 37.1 | 63.3 | - | 61.2 | 59.7 |
| Moses Wilson | - | 12 | 12.3 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 68.6 | 36.4 | 85.7 | - | 76.2 | 74.3 |
| Wyatt Zellers | - | 30 | 24.9 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.8 | 31.6 | 65.0 | - | 50.8 | 49.2 |
| Justin King | - | 29 | 19.3 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 4.6 | - | - | - | - | 45.2 | 22.2 | 75.6 | - | 55.4 | 48.8 |
| Caleb Burton | - | 25 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 44.3 | 30.2 | 83.3 | - | 59.0 | 53.6 |
| Jakob Fredricksen | - | 30 | 10.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 29.6 | 35.5 | - | 45.1 | 46.2 |
| Jackson Wors | - | 8 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 54.5 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 59.1 | 59.1 |
| Grant Fridley | - | 25 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 36.4 | 33.3 | 60.0 | - | 50.8 | 48.5 |
| Blake Pingeton | - | 4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| Rolen Adams | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lachlan Clague | - | 3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG