McDaniel
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1133 (#39) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1309 (#16) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1124 (#72) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +22.1 (#21) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.0 (#157) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.841 (#273) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.994 (#84) | NetEff +35.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.791 (#277) | AdjNet +11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.785 (#278) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.637 (#282) | AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.799 (#63) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 48.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.878 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.872 (#77) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1260 (#38) | RD 110 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Stevenson | W | 63 - 43 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Misericordia | W | 58 - 45 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | York (PA) | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 82 - 31 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Eastern | W | 73 - 38 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Alvernia | W | 77 - 37 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Dickinson | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Hood | W | 62 - 44 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Stockton | W | 63 - 48 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | W | 79 - 45 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Dickinson | W | 67 - 29 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Swarthmore | W | 57 - 47 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Johns Hopkins | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | W | 54 - 44 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Washington Col. | L | 45 - 50 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Haverford | W | 57 - 37 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elaina Beckett | - | 14 | 32.2 | 20.0 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 15.6 | 16.7 | 218 | 12.8 | 57.4 | 52.8 | 31.0 | 74.4 | 3.88 | 59.1 | 56.9 |
| Teya McConnaha | - | 18 | 26.5 | 13.7 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 12.1 | 12.0 | 217 | 10.3 | 42.0 | 45.6 | 43.2 | 78.9 | 2.19 | 52.8 | 50.0 |
| Lauren Cavoli | - | 18 | 29.6 | 11.1 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 11.4 | 5.4 | 207 | 9.9 | 40.4 | 34.5 | 27.6 | 73.7 | 2.3 | 44.7 | 41.5 |
| Raegan Lenz | - | 18 | 29.6 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 5.8 | 15.4 | 259 | 12.3 | 45.6 | 58.1 | 0.0 | 63.2 | 4.1 | 60.7 | 58.1 |
| Riley Stigler | - | 10 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 34 | 2.8 | 240.0 | 33.3 | 25.8 | 50.0 | -0.61 | 43.9 | 43.6 |
| Kendra Mason | - | 18 | 24.2 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 162 | 7.7 | 34.3 | 28.2 | 28.1 | 60.0 | 0.05 | 34.9 | 34.0 |
| Carli Vogel | - | 18 | 15.4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 64 | 3.0 | 19.6 | 56.8 | 0.0 | 64.3 | -2.89 | 59.1 | 56.8 |
| Payton Cramer | - | 18 | 12.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 34 | 1.6 | 12.7 | 28.1 | 26.1 | 25.0 | -1.53 | 37.3 | 37.5 |
| Jordan McLean | - | 17 | 17.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 146 | 7.3 | 37.2 | 25.4 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0.91 | 32.1 | 28.8 |
| Riley Waite | - | 16 | 11.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 60 | 3.3 | 22.8 | 32.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 2.6 | 38.6 | 37.1 |
| Kate Roberts | - | 8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -3 | -0.4 | -26.5 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.34 | 62.1 | 58.3 |
| Zion Oge | - | 11 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 6 | 0.5 | 24.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Jessica Pronchick | - | 10 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -8 | -0.7 | -58.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Lily Hines | - | 3 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -14 | -2.8 | -148.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emily Lockard | - | 4 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | -1.2 | -8 | -2.0 | -48.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG