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Maryville (TN)

Also known as: Maryville (TN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 934 (#357) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 971 (#368) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 988 (#493) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +4.1 (#147) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +5.3 (#270) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.456 (#471) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.8 More → 0.780 (#236) NetEff +8.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.5 More → 0.230 (#476) AdjNet -10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.213 (#480) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.335 (#478) AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 55.9 More → 0.619 (#211) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 55.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.564 (#324) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.583 (#308) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 21 More → 987 (#330) RD 97 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Lee L 35 - 65
2025-11-17 @ Warren Wilson W 81 - 67
2025-11-20 @ Sewanee L 70 - 76
2025-11-29 @ Transylvania W 48 - 45
2025-11-30 vs Muskingum L 51 - 58
2025-12-13 vs Wesleyan (GA) W 89 - 38
2025-12-16 vs Centre L 49 - 63
2025-12-20 vs York (PA) W 70 - 43
2026-01-10 vs Agnes Scott W 92 - 39
2026-01-13 @ Asbury L 58 - 61
2026-01-16 vs Piedmont W 89 - 63
2026-01-17 vs Belhaven W 59 - 54
2026-01-20 vs Covenant W 60 - 29
2026-01-22 vs Bob Jones W 72 - 47
2026-01-28 @ Agnes Scott W 72 - 51
2026-01-31 vs LaGrange L 58 - 65
2026-02-03 vs Covenant W 73 - 53
2026-02-07 @ Belhaven L 69 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emily Wilson - 18 27.4 13.7 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.6 2.1 11.5 6.7 16 0.9 7.4 39.1 35.4 86.7 1.72 54.5 50.2
Ella Haney - 18 26.4 10.8 5.7 1.6 1.6 0.3 1.7 10.5 7.8 24 1.1 9.5 41.8 29.3 56.8 1.77 46.8 45.0
Kadence Stoner - 18 24.6 8.2 6.6 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.7 6.9 9.7 18 0.9 9.9 46.4 0.0 75.6 3.1 51.4 46.4
Ella Tharpe - 18 23.5 7.7 4.0 1.6 1.6 0.2 1.8 7.7 5.5 16 0.8 8.5 41.7 43.2 75.0 3.17 48.4 47.5
Leighan Jackson - 17 11.4 6.0 2.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.6 4.5 3.1 32 1.8 44.4 51.3 0 66.7 -0.71 55.5 51.3
Emily Allen - 18 14.2 4.8 1.4 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.5 5.2 2.4 -27 -1.4 -25.6 36.6 25.6 45.0 -0.3 42.7 41.9
Chloe Powell - 18 9.5 3.6 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 3.4 1.8 -25 -1.4 -41.6 36.1 34.0 66.7 -2.25 51.1 50.0
Braxton Fritz - 18 19.4 2.7 2.6 3.2 0.8 0.2 1.6 3.1 4.8 27 1.4 17.5 35.7 28.6 50.0 1.34 41.8 41.1
Halle Kitchen - 18 16.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.4 0.1 1.2 1.6 5.9 -21 -1.1 -16.4 46.4 35.3 61.1 -0.05 59.9 57.1
Maddie Galuski - 8 4.1 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.6 0.9 21 2.1 393.8 28.6 11.1 75.0 -0.24 35.1 31.0
Terriah Watkins - 11 6.2 1.9 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.5 -8 -0.6 -150.0 47.1 0 62.5 -0.24 51.2 47.1
Kendyll McCloud - 10 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 2.1 0.5 10 0.8 187.5 28.6 25.0 0 -0.24 35.7 35.7
Tinsley Walker - 17 7.6 1.4 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.6 -1 -0.1 -3.1 42.9 30.0 60.0 -0.51 51.7 50.0
Niles Daniel - 13 6.3 1.2 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.5 1.2 7 0.5 21.5 35.0 0 20.0 -1.3 33.8 35.0
Charla Young - 6 3.1 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 110 5.2 26.3 50.0 0 50.0 2.43 50.9 50.0
Konner Hutson - 7 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 57.1 0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Bella Tetterton - 7 3.7 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 -0.1 - - - 33.3 33.3 0.0 - 37.1 38.9
Cassidy Andry - 7 3.7 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Victoria Wright - 7 3.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 -15 -0.8 -8.1 33.3 0 0 1.4 33.3 33.3
Kenzington Fleming - 6 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.3 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG