Maryville (TN)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1227 (#20) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1180 (#47) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1162 (#40) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.2 (#50) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.7 (#265) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.842 (#278) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.691 (#283) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.690 (#281) | AdjNet +6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.611 (#281) | AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.723 (#83) | AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.703 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.722 (#174) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1226 (#50) | RD 117 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Pfeiffer | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Berry | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Sewanee | W | 92 - 87 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 91 - 94 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Illinois Col. | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Berea | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Carthage | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Hanover | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | JWU Charlotte | W | 94 - 70 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Bates | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | LaGrange | W | 85 - 64 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Huntingdon | W | 101 - 86 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Asbury | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Piedmont | W | 95 - 63 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Belhaven | W | 92 - 76 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Covenant | W | 96 - 84 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | LaGrange | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Covenant | W | 98 - 73 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Belhaven | W | 79 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mallory | - | 1 | 33.0 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 113 | 8.1 | 47.2 | 57.1 | 38.5 | 75.0 | 1.33 | 71.4 | 69.0 |
| Chase Morgan | - | 21 | 29.1 | 21.0 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 18.2 | 55 | 2.6 | 13.3 | 56.5 | 32.3 | 80.0 | 0.28 | 62.9 | 58.1 |
| Owen LaRocca | - | 1 | 33.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 53.8 | 44.4 | 0 | -1.33 | 69.2 | 69.2 |
| Jackson Garner | - | 20 | 34.0 | 16.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 12.2 | 8.7 | 79 | 3.8 | 15.8 | 43.4 | 39.5 | 93.3 | 0.72 | 61.4 | 57.8 |
| Matthew Schneider | - | 21 | 30.0 | 14.2 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 25 | 1.3 | 5.8 | 48.1 | 32.0 | 64.6 | 1.36 | 55.8 | 53.2 |
| Marcus Townsend | - | 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 23 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.88 | 53.0 | 60.0 |
| Jamal Ware | - | 13 | 26.4 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 98 | 6.5 | 28.2 | 40.8 | 36.8 | 70.0 | 2.22 | 52.2 | 47.6 |
| Andersen Madyun | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 30 | 2.0 | 11.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 84.0 | 100.0 |
| Javi Rosell | - | 20 | 26.8 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 8.2 | 36 | 1.7 | 8.8 | 39.7 | 29.3 | 72.0 | -0.71 | 48.0 | 44.8 |
| R.J. Simmons | - | 19 | 13.4 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 5.7 | -15 | -1.0 | -17.7 | 46.6 | 50.0 | 74.1 | -1.17 | 58.3 | 54.1 |
| Kyle Cloninger | - | 1 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5 | 5.0 | 62.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.59 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Jaylon Green | - | 20 | 18.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 58 | 2.9 | 23.3 | 39.0 | 36.4 | 52.4 | 1.33 | 50.4 | 49.4 |
| Jeremy Autin | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10 | 0.7 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 57.1 | 2.31 | 64.9 | 0 |
| Eric Moore | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -0.9 | -6.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Collin Smith | - | 21 | 14.5 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 6.7 | 47 | 2.2 | 24.7 | 48.4 | 25.0 | 59.1 | 0.52 | 55.6 | 53.9 |
| Jett Sutton | - | 20 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 60 | 3.2 | 46.5 | 35.2 | 39.5 | 75.0 | 1.58 | 51.3 | 49.1 |
| Myles Johnson | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Skyler Stovall | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 34 | 2.8 | 28.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| David Stone | - | 15 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | -23 | -1.4 | -57.6 | 53.8 | 0 | 44.4 | -0.74 | 53.1 | 53.8 |
| Kobe Franklin | - | 18 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | -0.3 | -21 | -1.1 | -19.6 | 18.6 | 10.7 | 0 | -2.56 | 22.1 | 22.1 |
| Bryce Curtis | - | 9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.4 | 67.1 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.96 | 74.0 | 60.0 |
| Myles Murphy | - | 1 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 29 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.77 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Jalen McCullough | - | 10 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.4 | 53.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.72 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Zeek Young | - | 8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 2 | 0.2 | 33.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.96 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Hilton Dessausaure | - | 5 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -0.6 | -11 | -2.2 | -97.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Isaiah Knight | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -28 | -2.5 | -92.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryon Reed | - | 4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -8 | -2.0 | -106.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.16 | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG