Marymount VA Saints
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1163 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1123 (#105) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1188 (#19) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.8 (#114) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.4 (#343) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.749 (#64) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.591 (#81) | AdjNet +3.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.540 (#91) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.526 (#93) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.634 (#170) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.649 (#263) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.663 (#244) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1197 (#67) | RD 108 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Johns Hopkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Guilford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Hood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Swarthmore | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Catholic | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Hamilton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Alvernia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Saint Elizabeth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Neumann | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Pratt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Immaculata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Marywood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Neumann | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 57 - 61 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Pratt | W | 81 - 48 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Immaculata | W | 97 - 52 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Marywood | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Neumann | L | 68 - 75 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.