🐻⬇️🏀

Mary Washington

Season:
Also known as: Mary Washington
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 992 (#255) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 979 (#357) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1007 (#380) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +0.2 (#187) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +4.7 (#282) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.513 (#443) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.5 More → 0.313 (#411) NetEff -5.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.8 More → 0.633 (#330) AdjNet +4.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More → 0.629 (#330) AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 56.7 More → 0.544 (#338) AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 56.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 54.1 More → 0.624 (#205) AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 54.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.570 (#315) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.584 (#306) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 42 More → 972 (#353) RD 92 | GP 42

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.