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Mary Washington Eagles

Also known as: Mary Washington Eagles
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1267 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1333 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1131 (#57) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +14.4 (#70) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +2.6 (#306) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.796 (#296) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.7 More → 0.845 (#212) AdjNet +14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.844 (#213) AdjNet +14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.703 (#226) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 63.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.660 (#135) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.628 (#288) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.644 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 76 | GP 54 More → 1161 (#88) RD 76 | GP 54

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-08 @ Catholic - Incomplete score
2023-11-11 vs N.C. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2023-11-15 @ Hood - Incomplete score
2023-11-18 vs Lynchburg - Incomplete score
2023-11-24 @ St. Thomas (TX) - Incomplete score
2023-11-25 vs Rowan - Incomplete score
2023-11-26 @ Buffalo St. - Incomplete score
2023-11-29 @ Southern Va. - Incomplete score
2023-12-02 vs Marymount (VA) - Incomplete score
2023-12-05 @ Randolph-Macon - Incomplete score
2023-12-08 vs Guilford - Incomplete score
2023-12-11 @ Hampton - Incomplete score
2023-12-13 vs Ferrum - Incomplete score
2023-12-18 @ Bridgewater (VA) - Incomplete score
2023-12-29 @ Emory - Incomplete score
2023-12-30 vs Maryville (TN) - Incomplete score
2024-01-03 vs Franklin & Marshall - Incomplete score
2024-01-17 vs Chris. Newport - Incomplete score
2024-01-22 vs Johns Hopkins L 56 - 72
2024-01-24 @ Wilson - Incomplete score
2024-01-25 @ East Tex. Baptist - Incomplete score
2024-01-27 vs East. Mennonite - Incomplete score
2024-01-28 vs UC Santa Cruz - Incomplete score
2024-01-31 @ Averett - Incomplete score
2024-02-01 vs Sul Ross St. - Incomplete score
2024-02-02 @ Valley Forge - Incomplete score
2024-02-07 vs Salisbury - Incomplete score
2024-02-08 @ Texas-Dallas - Incomplete score
2024-02-10 @ Chris. Newport - Incomplete score
2024-02-14 @ Salisbury - Incomplete score
2024-02-17 @ Hampden-Sydney - Incomplete score
2024-02-23 vs Salisbury - Incomplete score
2024-02-24 @ Chris. Newport - Incomplete score

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Anderson - 1 34.0 27.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 19.0 12.0 89 17.8 110.8 52.6 20.0 100.0 0.28 62.4 55.3
Josiah Johnson - 1 37.0 22.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 16.0 16.0 20 10.0 12.5 43.8 28.6 75.0 0.92 56.4 50.0
Jahn Hines - 3 36.7 19.0 4.3 1.7 2.3 0.7 2.7 12.7 12.7 5 0.6 1.0 50.0 63.6 85.7 0.86 64.5 59.2
Eli Beard - 1 33.0 19.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 10.0 0 0.0 0.0 45.5 50.0 88.9 0.38 63.5 50.0
Tyler Dearman - 1 38.0 18.0 12.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 21.0 64 10.7 15.1 60.0 60.0 75.0 2.37 76.5 75.0
John Windley - 1 30.0 17.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 13.0 36 7.2 14.2 54.5 50.0 100.0 1.86 71.5 68.2
Calvin Williams Jr. - 1 38.0 15.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 13.0 15 3.8 12.0 45.5 0.0 71.4 0.68 53.3 45.5
Angel Johnson - 1 40.0 15.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 104 8.0 117.2 50.0 33.3 100.0 0.48 89.3 62.5
Trey Barber - 1 35.0 14.0 10.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 12.0 15.0 -8 -8.0 -31.2 50.0 0 33.3 -0.4 47.8 50.0
Zach Sloan - 1 25.0 13.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 6.0 -90 -4.5 -26.9 42.9 25.0 0 1.23 46.4 46.4
Sidney Thybulle - 1 26.0 13.0 15.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 27.0 -5 -1.0 -2.4 100.0 0 25.0 0.4 83.8 100.0
Greg Rowson - 10 23.5 12.1 6.2 0.9 0.9 0.5 1.7 8.3 10.6 - - - 44.6 20.0 85.4 - 58.1 48.2
Tyler Kessinger - 1 26.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 -11 -3.7 -6.2 50.0 66.7 0 0.27 75.0 75.0
Zack Blue - 12 28.9 11.5 3.7 2.3 2.3 0.0 2.1 8.4 9.3 -59 -6.6 -73.4 48.5 31.6 62.2 0.33 57.1 54.5
Dorian Davis - 12 21.2 11.2 4.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.7 9.1 7.9 -50 -2.6 -80.5 43.1 39.6 80.0 0.14 56.2 52.8
Mekhi Reid - 1 20.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 45 6.4 17.4 71.4 0.0 33.3 1.14 66.1 71.4
Luke Proctor - 1 36.0 11.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 12.0 26 1.9 7.1 33.3 33.3 83.3 1.36 63.7 50.0
Tyson Henderson - 3 31.0 11.0 2.7 3.7 1.3 1.7 2.0 5.0 13.3 48 2.4 10.6 53.3 45.5 85.7 0.39 78.0 70.0
Treyson Keating - 1 23.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 8 2.7 7.5 57.1 100.0 100.0 0.5 69.8 64.3
Toa Hollenbeck - 3 15.7 10.7 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 5.7 6.7 25 1.3 6.6 47.1 41.7 78.6 0.52 69.1 61.8
Joe Espy - 1 17.0 10.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 10.0 -51 -4.2 -39.3 42.9 0 80.0 0.15 54.3 42.9
Daniel Peterson - 21 25.4 9.1 7.0 1.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 8.3 9.5 14 1.8 4.2 44.6 31.8 67.7 1.49 50.6 48.6
Logan Barbour - 1 19.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 4.0 -76 -6.3 -53.0 33.3 25.0 100.0 0.69 47.7 44.4
Jeb Williams - 1 21.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 9.0 29 1.9 17.8 37.5 40.0 100.0 0.88 53.3 50.0
Trey Pittman - 21 18.4 8.6 3.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.8 7.8 4.9 12 1.5 3.6 48.5 12.5 62.9 0.89 50.7 48.8
Wesley Hooker - 1 40.0 8.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 15.0 - - - 37.5 40.0 0.0 - 47.4 50.0
Julius Burch - 1 39.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 7.0 47 7.8 11.1 66.7 0 0 1.38 66.7 66.7
Charlie Jackson - 1 19.0 8.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 9.0 61 4.1 43.7 50.0 0.0 66.7 0.85 54.6 50.0
Caden Breznikar - 1 25.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 2 0.2 1.7 57.1 0.0 0.0 0.31 50.8 57.1
Carson James - 1 31.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 7.0 12 3.0 4.2 42.9 0.0 100.0 1.35 47.0 42.9
Will Sykes - 1 12.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 42 8.4 29.6 75.0 100.0 0 1.22 87.5 87.5
Zino Okah - 1 25.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 7.0 15.0 -48 -8.0 -31.0 28.6 0.0 60.0 0.32 38.0 28.6
Zachary Engels - 1 16.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 16 1.1 16.1 75.0 0 0.0 0.24 67.6 75.0
Cameron McCravy - 12 26.2 5.8 2.6 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.9 5.1 5.6 -25 -2.5 -33.7 41.0 37.0 76.9 0.17 52.5 49.2
Matias Prock - 20 15.4 5.2 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.8 3.6 4.7 32 5.3 16.1 52.1 34.5 65.4 1.47 61.0 58.9
Luke Ogle - 1 19.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 8 1.3 3.9 66.7 50.0 0 0.74 83.3 83.3
Caleb Farrish - 1 23.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 65 10.8 15.3 33.3 0.0 75.0 1.86 52.5 33.3
Ian Anderson - 2 14.0 5.0 5.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.5 -28 -4.7 -14.2 50.0 0 50.0 -0.07 52.5 50.0
Ryan Pondant - 1 26.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 3 1.5 5.3 100.0 0 50.0 0.06 86.8 100.0
Vernon Fraley - 1 19.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -1.0 -8 -1.3 -2.6 12.5 14.3 50.0 0.81 22.5 18.8
Diego Lemus - 1 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 -14 -4.7 -53.4 100.0 0 100.0 -0.39 106.4 100.0
Nicholas Buffalo - 1 14.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 8 2.0 7.3 50.0 0 0 0.47 50.0 50.0
Connor Zamiara - 1 14.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 33 2.2 23.1 100.0 0 0 0.6 100.0 100.0
Devin Johnson - 10 9.2 3.7 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.9 3.5 2.8 -23 -3.3 -72.0 45.7 0 55.6 -0.24 47.5 45.7
Andrew Rowson - 21 16.7 3.4 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.1 20 2.5 7.1 49.1 0.0 60.7 1.3 52.7 49.1
Christian Perkins - 1 9.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 -50 -16.7 -286.4 20.0 33.3 0 -0.57 30.0 30.0
Ricky Altamirano - 1 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 0 0.66 150.0 150.0
Isaiah Hanson - 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -12 -2.0 -86.2 100.0 100.0 0 -0.71 150.0 150.0
Payton Brooks - 1 23.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 16 5.3 25.1 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.06 38.7 33.3
Hasan Hammad - 2 16.5 3.0 4.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.0 37 2.5 17.3 25.0 0.0 66.7 0.72 32.2 25.0
Jay Randall - 20 13.1 2.9 2.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.3 2.2 3.8 -24 -1.4 -9.2 48.9 0 54.2 1.03 51.3 48.9
Kaden Bates - 16 10.9 2.2 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.0 2.2 1.9 40 2.9 32.2 38.9 12.5 46.2 0.26 41.9 40.3
Brett Asbury - 1 22.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 -12 -2.4 -19.4 25.0 0.0 0 0.0 25.0 25.0
CJ Harrist - 1 14.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -1.0 -7 -3.5 -24.7 33.3 0.0 0.0 -0.33 29.1 33.3
Jake Latta - 3 15.0 1.3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 1.7 14 1.8 6.0 40.0 0 0 1.21 40.0 40.0
Peter Goldberg - 12 5.2 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.8 -14 -14.0 -41.5 55.6 60.0 0 -0.27 72.2 72.2
Will Stevenson - 1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4 0.4 28.7 0 0 50.0 -0.71 56.8 0
Andrew Schultz - 1 18.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Josh Goings - 1 18.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 9 1.8 7.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.63 17.4 0.0
Jadon Burgess - 19 4.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.6 19 1.4 30.2 27.3 10.0 83.3 0.02 36.5 29.5
Zyon Grant - 19 4.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 -0.3 -9 -3.0 -51.7 16.7 15.4 75.0 -0.6 27.8 22.2
Gabe WIlson - 12 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -4 -4.0 -154.8 66.7 0.0 75.0 -0.28 73.5 66.7
Cam Jones - 17 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -61 -4.1 -2033.3 0.0 0.0 0 -1.47 0.0 0.0
Quentin Hart - 1 14.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -5.0 -144 -16.0 -67.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.04 0.0 0.0
Jaden Ignacio - 1 17.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -3.0 -55 -7.9 -27.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.74 0.0 0.0
Tucker Shifflett - 1 13.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -3.0 -51 -3.6 -62.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.19 0.0 0.0
Raphael Kpalobi - 12 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -10 -1.7 -1500.0 0 0 0 -1.58 0 0
Kody Clayton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70 5.8 923.1 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0
Kyshon Tate - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9 3.0 116.8 0 0 0 -1.01 0 0
Ethan Ward - 3 14.7 0.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.3 0.3 72 3.6 32.2 0.0 0 0.0 1.46 0.0 0.0
Tommy O'Neil - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2 0.5 2.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.21 0.0 0.0
LD Butler - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Preston Cazalas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Pierson Cazalas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jerry Day - 1 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5 2.5 5.4 0 0 0 0.27 0 0
Jordan McClendon - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaron Slaton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ashton Myles-Devore - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maurice Pinnock - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Keegan Pugh - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trey Seigle - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jayce Todd - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kyle Wright - 1 19.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 14 7.0 16.5 0.0 0 0 0.26 0.0 0.0
Mike Lee, Jr. - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21 5.2 18.9 0 0 0 0.61 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG