Mary Washington Eagles
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1284 (#12) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1331 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1131 (#57) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.0 (#9) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.6 (#306) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.796 (#296) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.845 (#212) | AdjNet +14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.844 (#213) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.703 (#226) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.660 (#135) | AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.628 (#288) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.644 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1170 (#86) | RD 77 | GP 53 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-08 | @ | Lynchburg | W | 85 - 58 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | N.C. Wesleyan | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2022-11-16 | vs | Randolph-Macon | W | 58 - 52 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2022-11-27 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 58 - 92 |
| 2022-11-30 | vs | Methodist | W | 64 - 47 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Marymount (VA) | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2022-12-14 | vs | Averett | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2022-12-17 | vs | Randolph | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2022-12-19 | vs | Stockton | L | 66 - 80 |
| 2022-12-20 | vs | Merchant Marine | W | 68 - 46 |
| 2022-12-29 | vs | TCNJ | W | 84 - 62 |
| 2022-12-30 | @ | Wash. & Lee | W | 103 - 95 |
| 2023-01-03 | vs | Catholic | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2023-01-11 | vs | Hood | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2023-01-18 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 89 - 71 |
| 2023-01-19 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 89 - 71 |
| 2023-01-21 | @ | Pratt | W | 65 - 45 |
| 2023-01-22 | @ | Yeshiva | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2023-01-26 | vs | Pfeiffer | W | 87 - 62 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | Widener | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2023-02-01 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2023-02-05 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 65 - 43 |
| 2023-02-08 | @ | Salisbury | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2023-02-15 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | Salisbury | W | 60 - 46 |
| 2023-02-24 | vs | Salisbury | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 52 - 65 |
| 2023-03-03 | vs | St. Lawrence | W | 69 - 42 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ | Stockton | L | 65 - 68 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.