Mary Washington Eagles
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1284 (#12) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1331 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1131 (#57) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.0 (#9) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.6 (#306) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.796 (#296) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.845 (#212) | AdjNet +14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.844 (#213) | AdjNet +14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.703 (#226) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.660 (#135) | AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.628 (#288) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.644 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1170 (#86) | RD 77 | GP 53 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-06 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2021-11-07 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2021-11-10 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2021-11-12 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | W | 88 - 78 |
| 2021-11-13 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2021-11-19 | vs | Lynchburg | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2021-11-22 | @ | Randolph | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2021-11-28 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2021-12-01 | @ | Methodist | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | Marymount (VA) | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 80 - 57 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-19 | @ | Ferrum | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-29 | @ | Goucher | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-30 | @ | Albright | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-12 | @ | Widener | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Apprentice | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2022-01-31 | @ | Pfeiffer | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2022-02-03 | @ | Averett | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2022-02-05 | @ | Salisbury | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | @ | Chris. Newport | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-16 | vs | Salisbury | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | Chris. Newport | L | 67 - 68 |
| 2022-02-25 | vs | Salisbury | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 69 - 80 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.