Martin Luther
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 913 (#388) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 934 (#422) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 978 (#519) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.4 (#258) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.5 (#448) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.609 (#398) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.810 (#218) | NetEff +11.2 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.716 (#272) | NetEff +6.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.181 (#497) | AdjNet -13.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.170 (#498) | AdjNet -13.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.293 (#510) | AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.469 (#434) | AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.363 (#487) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.386 (#473) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 981 (#341) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | @ | Augsburg | L | 48 - 69 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | St. Catherine | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Macalester | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Hamline | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Maranatha Baptist | W | 80 - 24 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | St. Olaf | W | 59 - 40 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Wis.-Eau Claire | L | 43 - 94 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Trinity Bible (ND) | W | 84 - 52 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | W | 91 - 33 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Luther | L | 60 - 75 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Carleton | W | 72 - 51 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Lakeland | L | 57 - 74 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Viterbo | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Minn.-Morris | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Crown (MN) | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Wis.-Superior | L | 46 - 59 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | North Central (MN) | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | L | 37 - 43 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Wis.-Superior | L | 42 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mya Morris | - | 14 | 33.2 | 20.3 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 19.4 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 38.6 | 34.4 | 64.7 | - | 49.5 | 48.2 |
| Wilhelmina Wenz | - | 22 | 31.2 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 12.0 | 11.7 | - | - | - | 31.7 | 25.9 | 56.8 | - | 42.6 | 39.6 |
| Anna Kieselhorst | - | 12 | 30.0 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 11.1 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 36.8 | 24.6 | 55.0 | - | 44.5 | 42.1 |
| Lydia Feidt | - | 22 | 30.4 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 8.1 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 51.1 | 29.9 | 67.7 | - | 58.2 | 56.7 |
| Ava Stein | - | 22 | 28.6 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 4.9 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 34.5 | 56.9 | - | 46.7 | 44.5 |
| Ella Walz | - | 22 | 29.9 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.5 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 25.8 | 17.5 | 57.1 | - | 32.9 | 30.4 |
| Ava Walz | - | 22 | 17.4 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 6.2 | 60.9 | - | 36.1 | 31.9 |
| Heather Wendt | - | 11 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 10.0 | 88.9 | - | 51.6 | 44.6 |
| Payton Holub | - | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Ella Schmidt | - | 22 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 26.8 | 18.2 | 52.6 | - | 34.2 | 30.4 |
| Ella Hunter | - | 10 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Josslin Adams | - | 9 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 10.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 22.2 | 10.5 |
| Chloe Koschnitzke | - | 17 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 32.0 | 13.3 | 100.0 | - | 37.3 | 36.0 |
| Madeline Prahl | - | 7 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Keightan Rank | - | 12 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 13.8 | 10.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG