Martin Luther
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 942 (#473) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#533) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 906 (#665) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.4 (#410) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.8 (#680) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.177 (#688) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.047 (#705) | AdjNet -26.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.045 (#706) | AdjNet -26.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.141 (#708) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 88.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.247 (#714) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 81.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.175 (#691) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.185 (#695) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 877 (#496) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Augsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Saint Mary's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Hamline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Maranatha Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Minn.-Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Trinity Bible (ND) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Spurgeon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-08 | @ | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Bethel (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Carleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Minn.-Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | North Central (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Loberger | - | 22 | 31.7 | 22.1 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 18.4 | 12.0 | 25 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 41.2 | 28.9 | 80.4 | 1.13 | 51.9 | 45.8 |
| Benjamin Pearson | - | 19 | 33.9 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 13.9 | 11.5 | -44 | -2.3 | -7.4 | 46.8 | 28.4 | 75.0 | -3.64 | 53.9 | 50.8 |
| Thomas Balge | - | 15 | 27.1 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 7.5 | 5.9 | -5 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 43.8 | 39.1 | 66.7 | -2.35 | 53.3 | 47.8 |
| Ethan Kjenstad | - | 22 | 25.6 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 33 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 45.6 | 39.0 | 68.4 | 1.11 | 57.0 | 55.0 |
| Benjamin Vasold | - | 22 | 32.2 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 58 | 2.6 | 10.7 | 44.2 | 27.5 | 61.8 | 2.23 | 52.5 | 50.7 |
| Luke Fix | - | 22 | 24.9 | 7.3 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 10.3 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 54.1 | 45.5 | 76.0 | -1.39 | 61.5 | 56.4 |
| Trey Lauber | - | 22 | 24.5 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 15 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 40.4 | 33.8 | 74.2 | -0.66 | 52.5 | 49.3 |
| Martin Krenz | - | 18 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | -4 | -1.0 | -73.8 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.1 | 52.0 |
| Trenton Heyn | - | 9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 11 | 0.7 | 29.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.81 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Luke Krauklis | - | 3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 14.8 | 0.0 |
| Jared Schlittenhart | - | 5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG