Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1044 (#139) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#385) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +34.1 (#25) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#12) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#4) | NetEff +86.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.997 (#36) | AdjNet +49.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.998 (#33) | AdjNet +50.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.965 (#23) | AdjO 90.0 | AdjD 53.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.880 (#7) | AdjO 81.3 | AdjD 59.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.940 (#15) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.923 (#16) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-11 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 115 - 56 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aislynn Hayes | - | 1 | 25.0 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 27 | 3.0 | 5.1 | 61.5 | 40.0 | 62.5 | 0.26 | 69.6 | 69.2 |
| Abby Beeman | - | 1 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Breanna Campbell | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | -37 | -3.1 | -4.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 61.8 | 55.0 |
| Mahogany Matthews | - | 1 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Sydni Scott | - | 1 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| CC Mays | - | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.05 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
| Terah Harness | - | 1 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Tamia Lawhorne | - | 1 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 69.4 | 62.5 |
| Ashley Tudor | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Aarionna Redman | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Peyton Ilderton | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Olivia Ziolkowski | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Meredith Maier | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.58 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG