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Marian (WI)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Marian (WI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1009 (#375) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 944 (#446) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1002 (#441) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -7.5 (#308) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -11.3 (#548) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.349 (#566) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.6 More → 0.227 (#510) AdjNet -10.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.8 More → 0.221 (#507) AdjNet -10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.314 (#523) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 74.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 73.7 More → 0.403 (#576) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 73.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.343 (#546) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.353 (#543) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 943 (#435) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Wis.-Superior - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 vs Central (IA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Augsburg - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 vs Saint Mary's (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Concordia Wisconsin - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Edgewood - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Wis. Lutheran - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Lakeland - Incomplete score
2025-12-14 @ Northern Mich. - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 vs Beloit - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Carroll (WI) - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Benedictine (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ St. Norbert - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Dominican (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Lakeland - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Rockford - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs MSOE - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Illinois Tech - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 @ Maranatha Baptist - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Aurora - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Edgewood - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Benedictine (IL) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Andrew Ayeni - 21 32.2 14.4 7.0 3.5 1.9 0.2 3.0 10.9 13.0 98 4.7 21.1 45.0 26.1 62.2 0.55 52.4 47.6
Derek Lindert - 21 27.1 13.8 2.6 1.3 1.1 0.1 1.0 11.2 6.7 70 3.5 17.0 46.2 38.1 71.4 -0.57 58.9 58.1
Marvin Haslett - 21 23.3 12.2 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.2 1.8 8.2 6.5 67 3.4 19.4 49.1 37.7 82.4 0.67 62.5 56.6
Alex Vassilakis - 21 32.9 11.5 9.1 1.7 1.4 0.2 1.2 9.1 13.7 112 5.3 25.4 44.3 32.9 71.4 3.13 55.1 51.3
Harper Krolak - 19 26.1 5.3 2.6 3.1 0.5 0.1 1.6 6.8 3.2 63 3.5 16.8 29.2 23.3 50.0 -0.57 34.5 31.9
Rashawn Bost - 19 12.5 4.8 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.5 3.5 3.8 58 3.2 35.8 46.3 44.8 80.0 1.06 66.5 65.7
Jazz Orozco - 21 21.6 4.4 1.9 1.2 1.4 0.0 1.0 2.9 5.0 93 4.7 32.9 61.7 40.0 66.7 1.06 69.1 68.3
Max Breitenbach - 15 15.6 4.3 3.9 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.5 5.8 0 0.0 0.0 42.3 20.0 60.0 -1.61 49.8 45.2
Micai Johnson - 16 11.1 2.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.3 2.9 1.7 3 0.2 7.4 31.9 27.6 100.0 -3.21 44.3 40.4
Frederick Ware Jr. - 20 5.9 1.7 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.6 1.8 -5 -0.4 -9.4 41.9 27.8 75.0 0.55 51.9 50.0
Nick Gattuso - 4 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 6 3.0 276.9 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Michael Matz - 5 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 6 1.5 64.6 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Keshawn Cotton - 7 3.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 3 0.4 26.3 40.0 0.0 0.0 - 34.0 40.0
Donovan Byrd - 8 4.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 -0.4 4 0.8 14.4 22.2 0.0 0 -1.39 22.2 22.2
Alex Schlichting - 6 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Tristan Marvelli - 5 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 -0.4 -1 -0.2 -75.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 - 29.1 33.3
Myles Norville - 3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 3 1.5 138.5 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
JT Schmitt - 6 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.2 8 1.6 121.5 33.3 0.0 0 4.57 33.3 33.3
Kaden Fillmore - 3 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 -0.3 -7 -3.5 -79.6 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jeremiah Fitzgerald - 3 0.6 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 -3 -0.6 -25.2 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Carter Uppena - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG