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Marian (WI)

Season: 2026
Also known as: Marian (WI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 987 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 969 (#286) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 973 (#426) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -30.8 (#576) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#754) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -36.6 More → 0.014 (#730) AdjNet -36.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -36.6 More → 0.011 (#732) AdjNet -36.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 97.0 More → 0.055 (#744) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 97.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 83.2 More → 0.232 (#574) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 83.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.139 (#564) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.156 (#564) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 313 | GP 1 More → 957 (#261) RD 313 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-14 @ Northern Mich. L 52 - 109

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marvin Haslett - 1 19.0 21.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 11.0 - - - 60.0 60.0 85.7 - 80.3 75.0
Rashawn Bost - 1 14.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 66.7 0 - 75.0 75.0
Micai Johnson - 1 20.1 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 1.0 184 8.4 48.9 22.2 0.0 40.0 2.19 26.8 22.2
Harper Krolak - 1 18.7 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 33.3 - 75.3 100.0
Andrew Ayeni - 1 18.3 4.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Max Breitenbach - 1 18.9 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 75.0 - 26.0 0.0
Jazz Orozco - 1 20.4 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Alex Vassilakis - 1 18.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Frederick Ware Jr. - 1 14.9 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 -65 -3.8 -55.3 50.0 0.0 0 0.39 50.0 50.0
Donovan Byrd - 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Keshawn Cotton - 1 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kaden Fillmore - 1 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jeremiah Fitzgerald - 1 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nick Gattuso - 1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Michael Matz - 1 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Myles Norville - 1 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alex Schlichting - 1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
JT Schmitt - 1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG