Mansfield Mountaineers
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 848 (#401) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 753 (#533) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 778 (#598) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.3 (#303) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.8 (#502) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.098 (#527) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.975 (#132) | NetEff +32.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.151 (#577) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.149 (#579) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.243 (#594) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 85.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.216 (#579) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 85.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.159 (#558) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.161 (#563) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 689 (#496) | RD 113 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Ball St. | L | 54 - 84 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 57 - 107 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 51 - 75 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | L | 91 - 100 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 87 - 126 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Bry. & Strat. (Alb.) | W | 102 - 85 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Slippery Rock | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 71 - 111 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 61 - 89 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | California (PA) | L | 70 - 93 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Edinboro | L | 68 - 92 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | West Chester | L | 75 - 113 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Millersville | L | 62 - 82 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 76 - 102 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Shepherd | L | 67 - 95 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Shippensburg | L | 77 - 97 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Kutztown | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | West Chester | L | 66 - 91 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Lock Haven | L | 86 - 103 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Millersville | L | 64 - 80 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Scott | - | 23 | 29.5 | 13.7 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 12.7 | 8.4 | -144 | -6.3 | -29.5 | 43.0 | 25.0 | 59.5 | -0.1 | 48.3 | 46.0 |
| LaQuan Byrd | - | 12 | 21.9 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 6.7 | -52 | -5.2 | -47.7 | 51.1 | 43.2 | 69.2 | 2.58 | 63.9 | 61.9 |
| Juju Pagan | - | 22 | 26.6 | 10.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 6.7 | -170 | -8.1 | -38.3 | 45.5 | 38.5 | 69.2 | -1.46 | 55.6 | 50.0 |
| Nasir Brown | - | 23 | 17.6 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.7 | 3.4 | -140 | -6.4 | -55.0 | 43.2 | 29.4 | 63.9 | -0.3 | 53.1 | 49.7 |
| Diarmid Stewart | - | 22 | 20.6 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 7.9 | -86 | -4.1 | -29.7 | 46.7 | 9.1 | 72.4 | 0.13 | 59.0 | 47.6 |
| Darrien Berrios Rivera | - | 22 | 17.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 6.7 | 1.5 | -120 | -5.7 | -31.9 | 33.8 | 29.9 | 50.0 | 0.61 | 45.0 | 44.6 |
| Julian Wilson | - | 16 | 20.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 5.0 | -119 | -7.4 | -40.3 | 48.6 | 50.0 | 47.8 | -2.44 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Henry | - | 23 | 16.3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 2.8 | -53 | -2.5 | -19.7 | 40.0 | 22.7 | 66.7 | 0.02 | 46.3 | 44.5 |
| Ty Barrett | - | 23 | 15.7 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 2.7 | -44 | -2.1 | -20.9 | 35.6 | 32.7 | 79.2 | -0.43 | 50.2 | 45.6 |
| David Hill | - | 9 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 1.7 | -36 | -5.1 | -51.2 | 41.7 | 17.6 | 100.0 | 1.83 | 49.0 | 45.8 |
| Joshua Franklin | - | 23 | 21.1 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 | -201 | -9.1 | -55.6 | 40.0 | 15.4 | 47.4 | -3.42 | 44.0 | 42.9 |
| Kamani Healey | - | 18 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | -18 | -1.1 | -16.8 | 34.4 | 8.3 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 40.1 | 35.9 |
| Karson Dominick | - | 16 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 0.4 | 9.0 | 26.7 | 33.3 | 83.3 | 0.45 | 42.5 | 33.3 |
| LJ Stansbury | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG