Mansfield Mountaineers
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 721 (#535) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 739 (#534) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 778 (#598) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.5 (#360) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.8 (#502) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.098 (#527) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.975 (#132) | NetEff +32.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.151 (#577) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.149 (#579) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.243 (#594) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 85.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.216 (#579) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 85.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.159 (#559) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.161 (#563) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 685 (#506) | RD 112 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Ball St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Charleston (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Bry. & Strat. (Alb.) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Slippery Rock | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Indiana (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Seton Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | California (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Edinboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Millersville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Lock Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Shepherd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Bloomsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Shippensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Kutztown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Lock Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Millersville | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Scott | - | 22 | 29.5 | 13.5 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 12.5 | 8.4 | -144 | -6.3 | -29.5 | 43.1 | 23.5 | 60.5 | 0.7 | 48.5 | 46.0 |
| LaQuan Byrd | - | 11 | 21.8 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 6.8 | -52 | -5.2 | -47.7 | 50.6 | 44.2 | 72.7 | -0.5 | 63.9 | 61.8 |
| Juju Pagan | - | 21 | 26.4 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.6 | 6.8 | -170 | -8.1 | -38.3 | 45.0 | 39.5 | 69.7 | -2.14 | 55.5 | 49.7 |
| Nasir Brown | - | 22 | 17.7 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 3.6 | -140 | -6.4 | -55.0 | 44.7 | 29.9 | 62.7 | -2.79 | 54.3 | 51.3 |
| Diarmid Stewart | - | 21 | 20.7 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 8.0 | -86 | -4.1 | -29.7 | 45.4 | 10.0 | 73.6 | 1.39 | 58.8 | 46.4 |
| Darrien Berrios Rivera | - | 21 | 17.5 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 1.7 | -120 | -5.7 | -31.9 | 34.7 | 30.8 | 50.0 | -1.0 | 46.2 | 45.8 |
| Julian Wilson | - | 15 | 20.3 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 4.9 | -119 | -7.4 | -40.3 | 49.3 | 50.0 | 47.6 | -3.46 | 51.1 | 50.7 |
| Ty Barrett | - | 22 | 16.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 2.8 | -44 | -2.1 | -20.9 | 36.0 | 33.3 | 79.2 | -0.76 | 50.7 | 46.1 |
| Jackson Henry | - | 22 | 16.5 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 2.8 | -53 | -2.5 | -19.7 | 39.3 | 23.3 | 66.7 | -1.49 | 45.4 | 43.9 |
| David Hill | - | 8 | 10.3 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 1.9 | -36 | -5.1 | -51.2 | 43.8 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -1.11 | 51.8 | 48.4 |
| Joshua Franklin | - | 22 | 21.5 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 4.5 | -201 | -9.1 | -55.6 | 40.0 | 15.4 | 47.4 | -2.22 | 44.0 | 42.9 |
| Kamani Healey | - | 17 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -18 | -1.1 | -16.8 | 36.7 | 10.0 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 42.2 | 38.3 |
| Karson Dominick | - | 15 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 0.4 | 9.0 | 26.7 | 33.3 | 83.3 | -0.28 | 42.5 | 33.3 |
| LJ Stansbury | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG