Mansfield Mountaineers
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 848 (#401) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 753 (#533) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 778 (#598) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.3 (#303) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.8 (#502) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.098 (#527) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.975 (#132) | NetEff +32.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.151 (#577) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.149 (#579) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.243 (#594) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 85.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.216 (#579) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 85.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.159 (#558) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.161 (#563) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 684 (#504) | RD 114 | GP 23 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 73 - 101 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2021-11-16 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2021-11-20 | vs | Alliance | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2021-11-29 | @ | Frostburg St. | L | 91 - 95 |
| 2021-12-01 | vs | Mercy | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2021-12-03 | vs | Slippery Rock | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | Edinboro | L | 97 - 101 |
| 2021-12-14 | @ | Mercyhurst | L | 63 - 92 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ | Gannon | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-19 | @ | Clarion | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-05 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 90 - 113 |
| 2022-01-10 | vs | Lock Haven | L | 81 - 102 |
| 2022-01-12 | vs | Shippensburg | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | West Chester | L | 97 - 99 |
| 2022-01-19 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 73 - 92 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Millersville | L | 69 - 96 |
| 2022-01-24 | @ | Shepherd | L | 57 - 80 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Kutztown | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2022-01-29 | vs | West Chester | W | 94 - 90 |
| 2022-02-02 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 114 - 107 |
| 2022-02-09 | @ | Lock Haven | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Millersville | L | 106 - 107 |
| 2022-02-14 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ | Kutztown | L | 93 - 101 |
| 2022-02-21 | @ | Shippensburg | L | 82 - 94 |
| 2022-02-23 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 97 - 116 |
| 2022-02-26 | vs | Shepherd | W | 75 - 68 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.