🐻⬇️🏀

Manhattanville

Also known as: Manhattanville
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1135 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1162 (#78) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1109 (#85) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.4 (#211) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +4.1 (#292) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.981 (#163) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +25.8 More → 0.975 (#109) NetEff +25.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.8 More → 0.607 (#344) AdjNet +3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.8 More → 0.614 (#338) AdjNet +3.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 59.6 More → 0.509 (#366) AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 59.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 52.7 More → 0.710 (#114) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 52.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.706 (#210) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.718 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 21 More → 1156 (#104) RD 115 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 vs SUNY Geneseo L 62 - 65
2025-11-12 @ Medgar Evers W 112 - 38
2025-11-14 vs Brooklyn L 66 - 72
2025-11-19 @ UMSV W 68 - 56
2025-11-22 @ Farmingdale St. W 74 - 56
2025-11-25 @ Sarah Lawrence W 64 - 54
2025-12-03 vs Merchant Marine W 62 - 61
2025-12-09 vs St. Joseph's (Brkln) W 88 - 63
2025-12-13 @ Mt. St. Mary (NY) W 63 - 58
2026-01-13 vs Old Westbury W 81 - 24
2026-01-15 vs Yeshiva W 78 - 47
2026-01-17 @ St. Joseph's (Brkln) W 83 - 52
2026-01-21 vs UMSV W 65 - 57
2026-01-24 vs Farmingdale St. W 74 - 41
2026-01-28 vs Sarah Lawrence W 80 - 34
2026-02-04 @ Yeshiva W 67 - 49
2026-02-07 @ St. Joseph's (L.I.) L 40 - 47

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Esther Ramos - 17 31.6 16.3 6.4 1.6 1.6 0.2 2.3 13.8 10.0 184 9.7 71.5 50.0 37.2 65.9 2.2 55.0 53.4
Julie DeBrocky - 17 33.0 11.4 5.4 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.4 10.3 7.8 185 9.7 68.3 41.1 33.9 85.7 2.07 53.5 52.0
Gabby Tucker - 17 34.2 11.1 3.6 4.5 2.5 0.2 2.2 12.0 7.8 217 11.4 80.4 36.3 29.6 53.2 2.64 42.1 40.2
Amanda Orlando - 17 27.5 10.7 3.4 3.1 2.8 0.1 1.8 8.9 9.3 171 9.0 88.7 45.4 28.1 63.6 1.75 51.6 48.4
Kathleen O'Mara - 14 23.2 7.7 4.5 2.4 2.6 1.4 2.1 6.6 9.9 96 5.6 49.8 53.3 0 62.5 2.4 54.5 53.3
Maia Valazquez - 2 19.6 6.0 2.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 3.5 7.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 100.0 - 68.5 57.1
Madison Carlo - 16 7.7 4.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.6 3.7 1.8 22 1.3 33.8 45.8 41.5 57.1 -0.87 60.4 60.2
Molly Russom - 16 14.9 3.7 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.6 1.4 3.8 3.5 15 0.8 9.3 38.3 25.0 78.6 0.66 44.6 40.0
Maia Velazquez - 14 11.2 2.4 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.5 2.0 4.1 69 4.1 187.5 53.6 0.0 75.0 -1.3 55.4 53.6
Kaitlyn Mangan - 13 10.2 2.4 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.8 60 4.0 73.5 34.4 11.1 66.7 -0.09 41.6 35.9
Ryan Ford - 10 5.6 2.1 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.3 2.9 13 1.4 60.5 53.8 0 87.5 1.09 63.6 53.8
Charlotte March - 13 7.4 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.9 1.5 -5 -0.3 -69.4 36.0 31.2 50.0 0.3 46.7 46.0
Jada Janvier - 6 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 4 0.8 26.1 42.9 0 100.0 0.46 57.1 42.9
Taylor Malone - 7 8.5 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.6 2.3 1.0 13 1.6 38.5 25.0 12.5 100.0 0.17 32.6 28.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG