Manhattanville
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 995 (#391) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 946 (#435) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 962 (#581) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.8 (#295) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.4 (#500) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.424 (#515) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.079 (#664) | AdjNet -21.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.074 (#665) | AdjNet -21.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.187 (#665) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.436 (#531) | AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.324 (#561) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.342 (#553) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 920 (#452) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Mitchell | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | WestConn | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Fordham | L | 62 - 96 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Hunter | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | NYU | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Union (NY) | L | 66 - 88 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Russell Sage | L | 68 - 89 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | York (NY) | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Medgar Evers | W | 84 - 48 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | John Jay | W | 90 - 86 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Yeshiva | L | 67 - 79 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Purchase | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Sarah Lawrence | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | UMSV | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Farmingdale St. | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | SUNY Maritime | L | 68 - 78 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Merchant Marine | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Old Westbury | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Yeshiva | L | 17 - 20 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Saint-Louis | - | 20 | 34.8 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 13.2 | 7.0 | 32 | 1.7 | 10.0 | 38.0 | 30.2 | 79.0 | 1.37 | 48.6 | 43.0 |
| Isiah Middleton | - | 22 | 30.9 | 13.8 | 6.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 11.7 | 9.7 | 40 | 2.0 | 10.4 | 49.6 | 10.0 | 83.6 | -0.26 | 53.9 | 50.0 |
| Chris Robinson | - | 22 | 31.3 | 13.8 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 12.3 | 11.2 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 40.6 | 28.7 | 59.8 | -1.25 | 48.1 | 44.8 |
| John Ranaghan | - | 22 | 31.5 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 9.5 | 6.9 | 51 | 2.4 | 12.3 | 43.3 | 30.6 | 71.1 | 0.17 | 53.6 | 51.4 |
| Carlos Urena | - | 20 | 24.3 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 20 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 38.1 | 30.4 | 78.4 | 1.57 | 51.1 | 45.6 |
| Daniel Marinaccio | - | 22 | 19.2 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 23 | 1.1 | 7.0 | 33.3 | 32.8 | 69.2 | -0.52 | 46.2 | 44.3 |
| Antonio Del Vescovo | - | 22 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -32 | -1.6 | -16.8 | 65.1 | 0 | 38.5 | 0.93 | 60.6 | 65.1 |
| Jack Maloney | - | 10 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.1 | 27.3 | 90.0 | 0.22 | 54.7 | 45.7 |
| Andrew Melillo | - | 22 | 15.3 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 4.6 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.5 | 30.4 | 16.7 | 83.3 | -1.14 | 40.7 | 33.0 |
| Tyler Kuhn | - | 3 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | - | 26.5 | 25.0 |
| Triston Marrero | - | 2 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 106.4 | 150.0 |
| Curtis Staie | - | 3 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Neven Noor | - | 4 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 0.7 | 39.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 116.7 | 116.7 |
| Nasir Emery | - | 2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jack Quinn | - | 5 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| James Apostolico | - | 13 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -2 | -0.2 | -44.9 | 23.1 | 12.5 | 30.0 | -0.05 | 28.7 | 26.9 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG