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Manhattan

Also known as: Manhattan Jaspers, Manhattan
Program History

2017 Team Stats (6 games)

68.7
PPG
76.7
Opp
-8.0
Margin
38.2%
FG%
22.3%
3P%
75.8%
FT%
37.0
RPG
10.2
APG
17.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.7
Adj PPG
75.3
Adj Opp PPG
#285
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 813 (#282) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 867 (#266) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 916 (#288) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -8.1 (#284) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -7.6 (#279) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.250 (#298) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.2 More โ†’ 0.216 (#282) AdjNet -11.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.3 More โ†’ 0.213 (#282) AdjNet -11.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 75.3 More โ†’ 0.333 (#285) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 75.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 72.5 More โ†’ 0.373 (#288) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 72.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.290 (#285) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.298 (#284) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 32 More โ†’ 843 (#279) RD 153 | GP 32

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Bucknell Bison L 64 - 76
2016-11-15 vs Winthrop Eagles L 81 - 94
2016-11-18 vs Hofstra Pride W 80 - 68
2016-11-20 @ Temple Owls L 67 - 88
2016-11-26 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 84 - 81
2016-11-28 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 61 - 108
2016-12-02 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 76 - 77
2016-12-04 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks L 70 - 84
2016-12-06 @ Morgan State Bears L 82 - 85
2016-12-10 vs Fordham Rams W 60 - 53
2016-12-17 @ Florida State Seminoles L 67 - 83
2016-12-20 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 61 - 54
2016-12-22 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 81 - 54
2017-01-02 @ Marist Red Foxes L 88 - 90
2017-01-05 vs Fairfield Stags L 79 - 97
2017-01-07 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 72 - 81
2017-01-10 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 78 - 69
2017-01-13 vs Rider Broncs W 76 - 73
2017-01-17 vs Iona Gaels L 67 - 82
2017-01-20 @ Monmouth Hawks L 71 - 82
2017-01-22 vs Siena Saints L 68 - 81
2017-01-26 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 70 - 69
2017-01-28 @ Canisius Golden Griffins L 64 - 78
2017-01-31 @ Fairfield Stags L 49 - 78
2017-02-04 vs Marist Red Foxes W 68 - 67
2017-02-10 vs Monmouth Hawks L 58 - 62
2017-02-12 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 50 - 69
2017-02-16 @ Siena Saints L 71 - 94
2017-02-19 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 95 - 74
2017-02-22 @ Rider Broncs L 82 - 93
2017-02-24 @ Iona Gaels L 51 - 72
2017-03-02 @ Rider Broncs L 68 - 69

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zane Waterman Zane Waterman F 18 29.0 16.1 7.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 2.7 4.8 17.8 -65 24 -2.7 -4.4 51.7 47.6 83.7 0.18 136.4 57.5
Zavier Turner Zavier Turner G 18 27.9 14.0 2.3 3.2 0.8 0.1 3.3 4.5 12.6 -51 24 -2.1 -3.2 34.6 30.6 80.9 1.2 123.9 41.4
Calvin Crawford Calvin Crawford F 18 24.9 9.1 3.8 0.7 1.1 0.6 1.8 3.4 9.9 4 23 0.2 0.3 33.9 14.8 60.0 1.74 118.8 37.1
Aaron Walker Aaron Walker G 18 19.1 8.6 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 1.9 3.3 8.2 -33 24 -1.4 -3.2 37.3 23.1 77.3 0.87 112.8 39.8
Thomas Capuano Thomas Capuano G 18 24.5 5.3 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.8 1.1 8.0 -84 24 -3.5 -5.7 30.0 21.4 50.0 -1.51 212.0 37.5
Na'Quan Council Na'Quan Council G 18 12.9 4.3 1.7 0.4 1.0 0.0 0.9 1.7 4.8 -31 24 -1.3 -4.4 20.0 15.0 83.3 0.06 118.0 25.0
Ahmed Ismail Ahmed Ismail C 18 14.7 3.6 4.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.3 5.9 -57 22 -2.6 -8.0 52.2 0.0 70.6 -1.62 106.6 52.2
Zavier Peart Zavier Peart F 13 9.9 3.2 2.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 4.5 -81 18 -4.5 -17.6 30.8 0 33.3 -4.94 143.2 30.8
Samson Usilo Samson Usilo G 17 14.3 3.1 3.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.2 5.2 -90 23 -3.9 -12.2 40.0 0.0 53.8 -3.32 103.0 40.0
Tyler Wilson Tyler Wilson G 18 20.5 1.6 1.1 1.7 0.9 0.1 2.1 0.9 2.3 -89 24 -3.7 -8.0 29.4 0.0 50.0 -3.92 81.1 29.4
Oliver Ehrnvall Oliver Ehrnvall F 4 6.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 -7 9 -0.8 -7.6 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
Ak Ojo Ak Ojo C 17 6.2 0.5 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 2.0 -65 21 -3.1 -17.6 100.0 0 0 -5.77 400.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG