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Manhattan

Also known as: Manhattan Jaspers, Manhattan
Program History

2016 Team Stats (4 games)

65.5
PPG
70.2
Opp
-4.8
Margin
44.0%
FG%
42.7%
3P%
77.9%
FT%
29.3
RPG
14.0
APG
16.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.4
Adj PPG
72.2
Adj Opp PPG
#257
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 930 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 908 (#237) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More โ†’ 957 (#235) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -6.4 (#256) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -6.6 (#261) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.331 (#245) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.0 More โ†’ 0.262 (#254) AdjNet -9.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.1 More โ†’ 0.260 (#254) AdjNet -9.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 72.2 More โ†’ 0.371 (#257) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 71.1 More โ†’ 0.422 (#236) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.343 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.353 (#250) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 31 More โ†’ 914 (#233) RD 145 | GP 31

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-16 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 63 - 89
2015-11-21 vs Bucknell Bison L 67 - 80
2015-11-25 vs George Mason Patriots W 69 - 67
2015-11-28 @ Fordham Rams L 64 - 87
2015-12-04 @ Siena Saints L 54 - 89
2015-12-06 vs Marist Red Foxes L 70 - 75
2015-12-09 vs Columbia Lions L 71 - 72
2015-12-12 @ Memphis Tigers L 57 - 89
2015-12-14 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 71 - 60
2015-12-20 @ Morgan State Bears W 78 - 66
2015-12-29 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 64 - 76
2016-01-02 vs Fairfield Stags W 72 - 66
2016-01-04 vs Siena Saints W 92 - 87
2016-01-07 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 94 - 86
2016-01-09 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 53 - 55
2016-01-15 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 62 - 65
2016-01-17 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 69 - 64
2016-01-21 vs Monmouth Hawks W 78 - 71
2016-01-25 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks - Postponed
2016-01-29 @ Iona Gaels L 56 - 70
2016-02-02 vs Rider Broncs W 65 - 57
2016-02-07 @ Fairfield Stags L 70 - 80
2016-02-11 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 84 - 77
2016-02-13 @ Marist Red Foxes W 81 - 73
2016-02-15 @ Monmouth Hawks L 70 - 79
2016-02-17 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks L 69 - 70
2016-02-21 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 63 - 59
2016-02-23 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 40 - 61
2016-02-26 vs Iona Gaels L 73 - 86
2016-02-28 @ Rider Broncs L 57 - 60
2016-03-03 vs Marist Red Foxes W 81 - 63
2016-03-05 @ Siena Saints L 76 - 89

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Shane Richards Shane Richards F 23 36.6 17.3 4.0 1.7 0.9 0.0 2.0 3.1 18.8 33 25 1.3 1.6 38.9 29.4 85.2 1.12 236.6 45.8
Rich Williams Rich Williams G 23 29.6 15.9 6.0 1.3 1.0 0.4 2.6 3.0 19.0 24 25 1.0 1.5 54.3 55.6 81.2 -0.44 236.9 61.4
Zane Waterman Zane Waterman F 23 23.6 11.0 5.8 0.6 0.7 0.3 1.6 2.2 14.6 13 25 0.5 1.0 56.0 38.1 80.0 0.05 208.2 64.0
Calvin Crawford Calvin Crawford F 14 23.3 9.5 4.2 0.8 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.6 12.6 -1 19 -0.1 -0.1 31.8 20.0 85.7 -2.36 236.2 34.1
RaShawn Stores RaShawn Stores G 20 30.1 7.8 2.3 3.0 1.4 0.0 1.6 1.8 11.1 68 23 3.0 4.4 36.1 34.8 57.1 1.87 199.6 47.2
Thomas Capuano Thomas Capuano G 23 26.7 5.6 1.6 1.9 1.7 0.0 1.1 1.2 8.4 -7 25 -0.3 -0.5 39.3 41.2 100.0 -0.67 225.0 51.8
Tyler Wilson Tyler Wilson G 23 29.5 4.5 1.9 5.5 1.6 0.0 3.3 0.7 9.6 -21 25 -0.8 -1.3 33.3 100.0 64.3 -2.03 243.4 36.7
Carlton Allen Carlton Allen C 7 15.6 2.7 2.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 1.1 0.3 4.4 - - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 389.3 50.0
Samson Akilo Samson Akilo F 20 8.0 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.8 -20 22 -0.9 -4.6 80.0 0 0 -4.13 240.0 80.0
Ak Ojo Ak Ojo C 5 9.6 1.2 2.4 0.0 0.4 0.6 2.0 0.2 2.4 - - - - 100.0 0 33.3 - 129.3 100.0
Matt Maloney Matt Maloney G 11 6.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.8 -36 15 -2.4 -26.8 0 0 0 -4.74 0 0
Jason Camus Jason Camus - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chris Rivera Chris Rivera - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG