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Manhattan

Also known as: Manhattan Jaspers, Manhattan
Program History

2005 Team Stats (4 games)

72.8
PPG
67.8
Opp
+5.0
Margin
44.0%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
77.4%
FT%
35.8
RPG
11.8
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.7
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#146
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1016 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 968 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More โ†’ 988 (#185) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +0.9 (#149) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ +0.3 (#160) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.552 (#127) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.3 More โ†’ 0.493 (#165) AdjNet -0.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.2 More โ†’ 0.493 (#165) AdjNet -0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.524 (#146) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 66.5 More โ†’ 0.535 (#124) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.491 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.493 (#163) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 27 More โ†’ 946 (#199) RD 147 | GP 27

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-21 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 73 - 69
2004-11-23 vs Rhode Island Rams W 67 - 58
2004-11-27 @ Fordham Rams W 76 - 60
2004-11-30 @ Fairfield Stags L 73 - 81
2004-12-05 @ NC State Wolfpack L 60 - 76
2004-12-09 @ Siena Saints W 85 - 70
2004-12-21 @ Arizona Wildcats L 75 - 105
2004-12-30 vs Milwaukee Panthers L 78 - 88
2005-01-03 @ Wichita State Shockers W 64 - 59
2005-01-05 vs North Dakota State Bison W 89 - 47
2005-01-09 @ Marist Red Foxes L 62 - 71
2005-01-13 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 78 - 72
2005-01-15 vs Iona Gaels L 67 - 69
2005-01-17 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 92 - 82
2005-01-20 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 86 - 77
2005-01-22 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 73 - 75
2005-01-27 @ Rider Broncs L 46 - 75
2005-01-30 vs Fairfield Stags W 69 - 61
2005-02-01 @ Siena Saints L 66 - 68
2005-02-04 @ Iona Gaels L 53 - 55
2005-02-06 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 70 - 77
2005-02-11 vs Rider Broncs W 90 - 73
2005-02-13 vs Marist Red Foxes W 86 - 54
2005-02-16 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 77 - 61
2005-02-19 @ George Mason Patriots L 66 - 78
2005-02-24 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 85 - 62
2005-02-27 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks L 64 - 85
2005-03-04 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 88 - 67
2005-03-05 @ Fairfield Stags L 60 - 62

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.