Manhattan
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1211 (#56) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1219 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1123 (#30) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.2 (#73) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.9 (#58) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.776 (#30) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.743 (#83) | AdjNet +9.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.745 (#84) | AdjNet +9.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.654 (#66) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.653 (#46) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.725 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.725 (#54) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1204 (#44) | RD 119 | GP 30 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-25 | @ | Sacred Heart | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2002-11-29 | vs | Loyola (MD) | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2002-12-03 | @ | Fordham | W | 85 - 57 |
| 2002-12-07 | N | Yale | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2002-12-17 | N | Wright State | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2002-12-18 | @ | Louisville | L | 62 - 89 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Saint Peter's | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2002-12-23 | @ | Hofstra | W | 93 - 75 |
| 2002-12-27 | @ | St. John's (NY) | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2002-12-28 | N | Iona | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | Marist | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2003-01-07 | vs | Siena | W | 82 - 66 |
| 2003-01-10 | vs | Niagara | W | 88 - 71 |
| 2003-01-16 | @ | Rider | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Saint Peter's | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2003-01-21 | vs | Rider | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2003-01-23 | @ | Fairfield | W | 93 - 86 |
| 2003-01-27 | @ | Seton Hall | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2003-01-31 | @ | Niagara | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2003-02-02 | @ | Canisius | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2003-02-06 | vs | Marist | W | 74 - 53 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Canisius | W | 79 - 65 |
| 2003-02-13 | vs | Fairfield | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2003-02-16 | @ | Iona | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2003-02-23 | @ | Loyola (MD) | W | 83 - 49 |
| 2003-02-27 | @ | Siena | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2003-03-02 | vs | Iona | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2003-03-09 | N | Niagara | W | 82 - 81 |
| 2003-03-10 | N | Fairfield | W | 69 - 54 |
| 2003-03-21 | N | Syracuse | L | 65 - 76 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.