Manhattan
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1187 (#62) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1212 (#33) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1135 (#24) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +5.1 (#93) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +4.6 (#93) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.735 (#45) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.670 (#98) | AdjNet +6.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.671 (#97) | AdjNet +6.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.607 (#93) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.602 (#71) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.690 (#69) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.689 (#65) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1213 (#34) | RD 119 | GP 30 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-01 | vs | Hofstra | W | 80 - 58 |
| 1992-12-04 | N | Texas Christian | W | 67 - 42 |
| 1992-12-05 | @ | Marquette | L | 62 - 85 |
| 1992-12-08 | @ | Marist | W | 62 - 59 |
| 1992-12-12 | @ | Bradley | W | 61 - 54 |
| 1992-12-19 | vs | Army | W | 83 - 51 |
| 1992-12-21 | vs | Fordham | W | 92 - 67 |
| 1992-12-28 | N | St. John's (NY) | L | 59 - 74 |
| 1992-12-29 | N | Rutgers | L | 76 - 80 |
| 1993-01-04 | @ | Columbia | L | 80 - 84 |
| 1993-01-06 | vs | Holy Cross | W | 74 - 70 |
| 1993-01-11 | @ | Colgate | W | 85 - 78 |
| 1993-01-14 | @ | Niagara | L | 64 - 83 |
| 1993-01-16 | @ | Canisius | W | 64 - 60 |
| 1993-01-21 | vs | Niagara | W | 70 - 69 |
| 1993-01-23 | @ | Saint Peter's | W | 57 - 48 |
| 1993-01-27 | vs | Siena | W | 64 - 62 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Iona | W | 83 - 74 |
| 1993-02-02 | @ | Loyola (MD) | W | 77 - 62 |
| 1993-02-10 | vs | Fairfield | W | 82 - 71 |
| 1993-02-13 | vs | Canisius | W | 75 - 55 |
| 1993-02-15 | @ | Iona | W | 89 - 76 |
| 1993-02-20 | @ | Siena | L | 76 - 84 |
| 1993-02-22 | vs | Saint Peter's | W | 89 - 77 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | Fairfield | W | 82 - 71 |
| 1993-03-01 | vs | Loyola (MD) | W | 79 - 62 |
| 1993-03-05 | N | Loyola (MD) | W | 57 - 37 |
| 1993-03-06 | @ | Siena | W | 71 - 70 |
| 1993-03-07 | N | Niagara | W | 68 - 67 |
| 1993-03-19 | N | Virginia | L | 66 - 78 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.