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Manhattan

Also known as: Manhattan Jaspers, Manhattan
Program History

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1187 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1212 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More โ†’ 1135 (#24) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +5.1 (#93) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +4.6 (#93) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.735 (#45) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.2 More โ†’ 0.670 (#98) AdjNet +6.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.2 More โ†’ 0.671 (#97) AdjNet +6.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 68.2 More โ†’ 0.607 (#93) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 68.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 68.7 More โ†’ 0.602 (#71) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.690 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.689 (#65) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1213 (#34) RD 119 | GP 30

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-01 vs Hofstra W 80 - 58
1992-12-04 N Texas Christian W 67 - 42
1992-12-05 @ Marquette L 62 - 85
1992-12-08 @ Marist W 62 - 59
1992-12-12 @ Bradley W 61 - 54
1992-12-19 vs Army W 83 - 51
1992-12-21 vs Fordham W 92 - 67
1992-12-28 N St. John's (NY) L 59 - 74
1992-12-29 N Rutgers L 76 - 80
1993-01-04 @ Columbia L 80 - 84
1993-01-06 vs Holy Cross W 74 - 70
1993-01-11 @ Colgate W 85 - 78
1993-01-14 @ Niagara L 64 - 83
1993-01-16 @ Canisius W 64 - 60
1993-01-21 vs Niagara W 70 - 69
1993-01-23 @ Saint Peter's W 57 - 48
1993-01-27 vs Siena W 64 - 62
1993-01-30 vs Iona W 83 - 74
1993-02-02 @ Loyola (MD) W 77 - 62
1993-02-10 vs Fairfield W 82 - 71
1993-02-13 vs Canisius W 75 - 55
1993-02-15 @ Iona W 89 - 76
1993-02-20 @ Siena L 76 - 84
1993-02-22 vs Saint Peter's W 89 - 77
1993-02-27 @ Fairfield W 82 - 71
1993-03-01 vs Loyola (MD) W 79 - 62
1993-03-05 N Loyola (MD) W 57 - 37
1993-03-06 @ Siena W 71 - 70
1993-03-07 N Niagara W 68 - 67
1993-03-19 N Virginia L 66 - 78

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.