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Manhattan

Also known as: Manhattan Jaspers, Manhattan
Program History

Model Outputs

1989-1990
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 856 (#224) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 877 (#218) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +128 elo More โ†’ 935 (#217) HCA +128 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.1 More โ†’ -7.9 (#225) HCA +4.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -8.0 (#232) HCA +4.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.314 (#216) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.8 More โ†’ 0.224 (#225) AdjNet -10.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.9 More โ†’ 0.220 (#226) AdjNet -10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 74.1 More โ†’ 0.342 (#224) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 74.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 74.3 More โ†’ 0.381 (#229) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 74.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.303 (#226) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.310 (#228) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 28 More โ†’ 863 (#221) RD 151 | GP 28

1990 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1989-11-25 @ Hofstra W 60 - 57
1989-11-28 vs Columbia W 85 - 67
1989-12-02 vs Loyola (MD) W 58 - 56
1989-12-08 vs Texas L 63 - 108
1989-12-09 N Texas State L 74 - 76
1989-12-16 @ St. John's (NY) L 52 - 68
1989-12-22 vs Wagner W 88 - 72
1989-12-28 @ Arizona State L 70 - 92
1989-12-29 N Wisconsin L 48 - 63
1990-01-04 @ Niagara L 57 - 62
1990-01-06 @ Canisius W 70 - 65
1990-01-09 vs Drexel L 77 - 78
1990-01-11 vs Holy Cross L 54 - 63
1990-01-13 @ Saint Peter's W 73 - 64
1990-01-17 @ New Hampshire W 86 - 57
1990-01-20 vs Fordham L 66 - 68
1990-01-23 vs Army W 78 - 66
1990-01-27 @ Siena L 71 - 101
1990-01-31 @ Colgate L 78 - 84
1990-02-03 @ Fairfield L 50 - 73
1990-02-06 N Iona W 63 - 54
1990-02-10 vs La Salle L 78 - 99
1990-02-13 @ Iona L 72 - 77
1990-02-17 vs Saint Peter's L 74 - 77
1990-02-20 vs Fairfield W 64 - 56
1990-02-22 @ La Salle L 60 - 100
1990-02-24 @ Loyola (MD) W 80 - 78
1990-03-02 N Canisius L 59 - 61

1990 Roster

No roster data available for this season.