Manhattan Chrst. - 2026

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	990 (#256)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	967 (#372)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More →	953 (#558)	HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More →	-48.0 (#713)	HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.000 (#752)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -32.5 More →	0.022 (#638)	AdjNet -32.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -32.3 More →	0.019 (#638)	AdjNet -32.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 49.5 \| AdjD 68.0 More →	0.157 (#621)	AdjO 49.5 \| AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 47.2 \| AdjD 68.0 More →	0.130 (#695)	AdjO 47.2 \| AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.014 (#721)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.022 (#715)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 256 \| GP 3 More →	821 (#479)	RD 256 \| GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-16	@	Greensboro	L	32 - 106
2025-12-02	@	Salem (NC)	L	22 - 87
2026-01-17	vs	Trinity Washington	L	0 - 0

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Carly James	-	2	30.6	8.0	3.0	1.5	0.5	0.5	4.5	13.5	-4.5	-	-	-	25.9	0.0	40.0	-	27.4	25.9
Hope Andrews	-	1	22.8	6.0	3.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	9.0	-	-	-	100.0	0	100.0	-	108.7	100.0
Kaytee Reich	-	2	26.7	4.0	6.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	3.5	3.5	4.0	-	-	-	28.6	0	100.0	-	45.7	28.6
UNKNOWN TEAM	-	1	26.6	3.0	3.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	8.0	2.0	-3.0	-	-	-	50.0	0	50.0	-	52.1	50.0
Isabel LaPoe	-	2	21.1	3.0	2.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	3.5	5.5	-3.5	-	-	-	27.3	0.0	0	-	27.3	27.3
Tessa Dodson	-	2	24.1	2.5	2.0	1.5	0.0	0.0	6.0	8.0	-8.0	-	-	-	6.2	0.0	50.0	-	13.4	6.2
Lily McClean	-	2	16.7	2.5	4.0	1.0	1.5	0.0	4.0	6.5	-1.5	-	-	-	7.7	0.0	75.0	-	16.9	7.7
Sashay Thompson	-	2	17.4	2.0	3.0	0.0	1.5	0.0	3.0	5.5	-2.0	-	-	-	18.2	0	0.0	-	16.8	18.2
Emily Dangerfield	-	2	12.7	0.5	4.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	3.0	3.0	-0.5	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	50.0	-	7.3	0.0
Madelyn Delosreyes	-	2	26.0	0.0	4.0	0.5	1.5	0.0	3.0	4.5	-1.5	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	-	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG