Manhattan Chrst.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 970 (#356) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 920 (#403) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 981 (#490) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -51.9 (#694) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.000 (#761) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#518) | NetEff -89.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#766) | AdjNet -81.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#767) | AdjNet -83.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.003 (#770) | AdjO 44.1 | AdjD 108.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.203 (#662) | AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 75.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.061 (#677) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.080 (#674) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 874 (#412) | RD 289 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | @ | MSU Denver | L | 49 - 121 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Holloway | - | 1 | 40.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 37.5 | 100.0 | - | 56.0 | 42.3 |
| Tahlia Morris | - | 1 | 21.2 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 54.5 | 50.0 |
| Macayla Hines | - | 1 | 40.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 22.3 | 23.1 |
| Nekayla Williams | - | 1 | 18.8 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 142 | 5.9 | 31.9 | 15.4 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.65 | 16.9 | 15.4 |
| Mackenzie Lovett | - | 1 | 23.6 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | -6.0 | - | - | - | 9.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 13.1 | 9.1 |
| Elayna Wegner | - | 1 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Tatum Milenski | - | 1 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Madison Ellis | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23 | -1.4 | -5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ca'Mya Burns | - | 1 | 20.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG