Manchester Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 765 (#363) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 732 (#376) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 814 (#746) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.3 (#325) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.7 (#636) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.348 (#266) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.027 (#63) | NetEff -30.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.202 (#249) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.191 (#253) | AdjNet -12.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.310 (#248) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 83.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.260 (#705) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 84.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.153 (#711) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.165 (#707) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 714 (#608) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Albion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Cal Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | La Roche | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Alma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Ohio Northern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Rose-Hulman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Earlham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Hanover | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Transylvania | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Trine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Franklin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Berea | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Anderson (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Transylvania | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Rose-Hulman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Bluffton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Berea | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Anderson (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Hanover | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Bluffton | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Earlham | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Franklin | L | 70 - 76 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.