Manchester Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 796 (#618) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 738 (#625) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 814 (#746) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.1 (#343) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.7 (#636) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.348 (#567) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.027 (#63) | NetEff -30.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.202 (#538) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.191 (#542) | AdjNet -12.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.310 (#533) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 83.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.260 (#705) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 84.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.153 (#711) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.165 (#707) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 717 (#606) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-09 | vs | Alma | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2023-11-14 | @ | Hope | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | Albion | W | 67 - 66 |
| 2023-11-27 | @ | Kalamazoo | L | 70 - 88 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Bluffton | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Transylvania | L | 76 - 77 |
| 2023-12-16 | vs | Berea | W | 102 - 78 |
| 2023-12-19 | vs | Stevenson | L | 88 - 90 |
| 2023-12-20 | @ | Muskingum | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Franklin | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | Defiance | W | 87 - 67 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Hanover | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Anderson (IN) | W | 84 - 82 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Earlham | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Rose-Hulman | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Earlham | W | 95 - 63 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Bluffton | W | 85 - 80 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Hanover | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Franklin | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Transylvania | W | 91 - 83 |
| 2024-02-13 | vs | Defiance | W | 91 - 61 |
| 2024-02-16 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 86 - 96 |
| 2024-02-18 | vs | Franklin | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2024-02-23 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 73 - 75 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Smith | - | 27 | 35.9 | 20.9 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 15.1 | 11.8 | -10 | -3.3 | -3.4 | 43.5 | 39.1 | 85.6 | 0.14 | 60.3 | 54.8 |
| Zach Sawyer | - | 27 | 33.6 | 17.9 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 14.1 | 18.6 | -6 | -2.0 | -2.3 | 47.6 | 22.1 | 72.5 | 0.22 | 54.5 | 50.1 |
| Logan Willoughby | - | 24 | 18.8 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.5 | 37.2 | 81.1 | 0.5 | 52.5 | 47.7 |
| Mitch Mendenhall | - | 27 | 27.8 | 7.7 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 6.8 | 6.6 | -18 | -6.0 | -10.7 | 35.9 | 28.7 | 67.1 | 0.14 | 48.4 | 43.8 |
| Ty Lynas | - | 16 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 38.0 | 22.2 | 76.9 | - | 44.0 | 41.3 |
| Coy Hampton | - | 27 | 22.9 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 8.7 | 13 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 48.1 | 24.0 | 66.7 | 1.04 | 55.4 | 51.0 |
| Blake Shewmaker | - | 27 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 3.0 | -19 | -6.3 | -11.5 | 45.3 | 46.0 | 66.7 | -0.11 | 59.9 | 58.7 |
| Austin Willoughby | - | 26 | 17.6 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 3.2 | -11 | -3.7 | -9.8 | 43.4 | 16.7 | 51.4 | 0.22 | 46.0 | 43.9 |
| Ladarius Wallace | - | 24 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 32.5 | 28.6 | 20.0 | - | 41.5 | 42.5 |
| Elijah Davis | - | 24 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -26.7 | 47.1 | 25.0 | 70.0 | -1.36 | 56.1 | 50.0 |
| Brendan Williams | - | 27 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 30 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 36.8 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 0.92 | 44.9 | 44.7 |
| Carson Huber | - | 26 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -3 | -3.0 | -29.8 | 40.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | -0.85 | 51.8 | 53.3 |
| Lane Hoefler | - | 26 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 54.7 | 50.0 |
| Conner Lemmon | - | 26 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| Curshaun Walker | - | 22 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Memphis Jackson | - | 21 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -4 | -2.0 | -2.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.75 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Jason Kobe | - | 24 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 16.7 | 25.0 | - | 21.8 | 20.8 |
| Logan Brace | - | 27 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ethan Bontrager | - | 26 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brandon Christlieb | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Reiner Obray | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Benschneider | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Giorkis Hadjivasili | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hunter Rice | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG