Manchester Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 796 (#618) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 738 (#625) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 814 (#746) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.1 (#343) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.7 (#636) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.348 (#567) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.027 (#63) | NetEff -30.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.202 (#538) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.191 (#542) | AdjNet -12.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.310 (#533) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 83.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.260 (#705) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 84.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.153 (#711) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.165 (#707) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 716 (#607) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-08 | @ | Trine | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2022-11-11 | vs | Kalamazoo | L | 86 - 90 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Adrian | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2022-11-14 | @ | Purdue Fort Wayne | L | 31 - 111 |
| 2022-11-22 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2022-11-27 | vs | Transylvania | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2022-11-30 | vs | Defiance | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Earlham | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2022-12-10 | @ | Franklin | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2022-12-17 | vs | Hope | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2022-12-29 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2022-12-30 | @ | Otterbein | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2023-01-04 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 97 - 99 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2023-01-11 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Hanover | W | 76 - 75 |
| 2023-01-18 | @ | Bluffton | W | 65 - 47 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Earlham | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Transylvania | W | 109 - 106 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | Franklin | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | Defiance | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 69 - 50 |
| 2023-02-08 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 92 - 93 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Hanover | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2023-02-14 | vs | Bluffton | W | 84 - 62 |
| 2023-02-17 | @ | Anderson (IN) | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2023-02-24 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 63 - 66 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.