Manchester Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 796 (#618) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 738 (#625) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 814 (#746) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.1 (#343) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.7 (#636) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.348 (#567) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.027 (#63) | NetEff -30.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.202 (#538) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.191 (#542) | AdjNet -12.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.310 (#533) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 83.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.260 (#705) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 84.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.153 (#711) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.165 (#707) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 716 (#607) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-21 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | - | Preview |
| 2021-01-15 | vs | Earlham | W | 84 - 81 |
| 2021-01-16 | @ | Earlham | L | 53 - 71 |
| 2021-01-22 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 89 - 93 |
| 2021-01-23 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2021-01-29 | @ | Bluffton | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2021-01-30 | @ | Bluffton | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2021-02-06 | @ | Hanover | L | 69 - 85 |
| 2021-02-12 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 56 - 79 |
| 2021-02-13 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2021-02-19 | vs | Franklin | L | 76 - 88 |
| 2021-02-20 | @ | Franklin | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2021-03-03 | vs | Anderson (IN) | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2021-03-07 | vs | Franklin | L | 73 - 78 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.