🐻⬇️🏀

Malone

Also known as: Malone
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1042 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1129 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1023 (#187) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +4.9 (#171) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.4 (#240) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.537 (#317) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +22.3 More → 0.930 (#179) NetEff +22.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.7 More → 0.754 (#266) AdjNet +9.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.9 More → 0.760 (#265) AdjNet +9.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.665 (#264) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 64.8 More → 0.592 (#160) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 64.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.642 (#198) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.628 (#204) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 1088 (#132) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Lewis W 66 - 61
2025-11-15 @ McKendree L 53 - 65
2025-11-18 vs Bry. & Strat. (OH) USCAA W 68 - 54
2025-11-25 vs Edinboro W 80 - 59
2025-11-29 vs Villa Maria W 111 - 55
2025-12-04 vs Hillsdale W 63 - 57
2025-12-06 vs Tiffin W 52 - 45
2025-12-11 @ Cedarville W 68 - 67
2025-12-13 @ Lake Erie L 65 - 87
2025-12-17 @ Grand Valley St. W 57 - 55
2025-12-20 vs Wright St.-Lake W 84 - 53
2025-12-30 vs Kent St.-Tuscarawas W 107 - 80
2026-01-03 @ Hillsdale L 51 - 70
2026-01-05 @ Northwood L 61 - 68
2026-01-10 vs Findlay L 71 - 77
2026-01-15 vs Ky. Wesleyan W 80 - 75
2026-01-17 vs Thomas More L 62 - 68
2026-01-22 @ Ohio Dominican W 76 - 66
2026-01-24 vs Walsh L 44 - 68
2026-01-29 @ Ashland L 63 - 75
2026-01-31 @ Tiffin L 61 - 72
2026-02-05 vs Northwood W 67 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Collin Albert - 1 36.0 17.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 14.0 -52 -7.4 -29.0 53.8 25.0 100.0 0.37 61.2 57.7
Arius Alijosius - 1 35.2 14.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 5.0 18 1.1 6.4 33.3 42.9 33.3 1.24 42.9 43.3
Ryan Hall - 1 36.9 14.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 11.0 14.0 -75 -3.4 -14.5 36.4 25.0 71.4 -3.74 49.7 40.9
Nic Williams - 21 30.3 13.6 3.1 2.5 0.9 0.3 1.1 11.9 7.4 -23 -1.0 -4.4 42.8 36.4 75.8 -0.68 54.1 52.2
Emmanuel Oladeru - 21 22.5 11.2 7.5 0.7 0.5 1.1 1.8 8.6 10.7 -55 -2.5 -15.7 58.9 0.0 55.8 -1.47 59.3 58.9
Drew Fisher - 1 34.3 11.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 6.0 -213 -9.7 -43.9 44.4 0.0 75.0 -4.63 51.1 44.4
Josiah Pierre - 21 29.8 10.2 6.0 1.7 0.9 0.8 1.9 7.9 9.8 -60 -2.7 -12.4 47.3 33.3 74.6 -0.56 54.5 48.8
Joey DeGeorge - 21 24.5 7.5 3.2 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.4 6.1 4.5 -42 -1.9 -7.9 46.9 32.3 84.2 -0.02 57.6 55.1
Jacob Ernst - 20 18.4 6.7 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 1.9 5.5 5.2 -52 -2.5 -22.5 46.8 6.7 64.6 -2.42 51.5 47.2
Timofei Komissarov - 1 10.8 5.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 -50 -2.8 -33.6 40.0 0 50.0 -2.24 42.5 40.0
Crew Cain - 19 15.2 4.9 1.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 1.4 4.0 3.5 -12 -0.6 -6.1 44.7 16.7 61.1 0.36 50.6 46.7
Jake Bruns - 19 27.6 4.8 2.8 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.6 4.6 4.6 43 2.1 12.3 35.2 29.0 47.8 1.34 46.4 45.5
Austin Niekamp - 12 7.8 4.8 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.6 3.1 6 0.5 6.2 53.5 30.8 87.5 -0.8 61.3 58.1
Kellen Leake - 14 12.4 3.3 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 3.6 0.8 -23 -1.6 -26.6 34.0 31.6 0.0 -0.32 45.6 46.0
Nick Wigton - 9 6.4 3.2 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.7 1.2 -5 -0.6 -6.4 37.5 44.4 75.0 0.67 56.3 54.2
Logan Forbes - 20 13.3 3.0 2.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.6 3.4 -24 -1.1 -10.4 48.1 62.5 75.0 -0.53 54.9 52.9
DeLan Davis - 2 3.2 3.0 0.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.5 8 0.5 14.3 100.0 0 100.0 0.77 108.7 100.0
Tate Aljancic - 18 9.8 1.9 3.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.1 -56 -2.9 -21.8 31.7 6.7 36.8 -3.18 34.4 32.9
Cale Cosme - 1 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -109 -5.5 -23.2 0.0 0 0 -1.77 0.0 0.0
Billy Durkin - 1 12.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -68 -3.1 -16.0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
Arden Eaves - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -31 -3.1 -61.6 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
Reid Loewen - 1 16.4 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -5 -0.3 -3.1 0.0 0 0 -0.51 0.0 0.0
John McCrear - 1 13.1 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -1.0 -129 -6.1 -51.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.46 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG