Maine Maritime
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 933 (#490) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#544) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 960 (#589) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -25.0 (#394) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.5 (#634) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.431 (#510) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.069 (#674) | AdjNet -22.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.064 (#676) | AdjNet -23.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.172 (#677) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.339 (#640) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.206 (#653) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.233 (#644) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 898 (#474) | RD 95 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | U New England | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Elms | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | L | 60 - 84 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 94 - 83 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Lesley | W | 88 - 78 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Thomas (ME) | L | 58 - 59 |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Husson | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Colby | L | 58 - 84 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Bates | L | 59 - 107 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 50 - 71 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Bowdoin | L | 56 - 86 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | W | 86 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Me.-Farmington | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 53 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | SUNY Delhi | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Husson | L | 85 - 92 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Thomas (ME) | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Lesley | W | 90 - 48 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | W | 94 - 72 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 74 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Downs | - | 1 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 20.0 | -76 | -5.4 | -16.5 | 48.1 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -2.06 | 57.3 | 51.9 |
| Brady Coyne | - | 1 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | -12 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 72.7 | 77.8 | 0 | -0.75 | 104.5 | 104.5 |
| Aden Goffe | - | 1 | 34.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | -44 | -6.3 | -22.2 | 47.1 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 2.32 | 56.0 | 52.9 |
| Jack Banks | - | 16 | 34.1 | 19.3 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 13.4 | 15.9 | 58 | 3.6 | 11.5 | 58.4 | 36.4 | 64.4 | 0.64 | 62.8 | 61.2 |
| DJ Watkins | - | 1 | 34.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | -48 | -2.8 | -13.3 | 41.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 47.5 | 44.1 |
| Cherif Kanoute | - | 1 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 0 | 57.1 | - | 79.4 | 85.7 |
| Marcus Schade | - | 17 | 31.9 | 15.9 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 11.6 | 10.5 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 52.8 | 37.8 | 66.7 | 2.56 | 63.3 | 62.2 |
| Drew Hamilton | - | 20 | 33.1 | 15.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 12.2 | 6.9 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 48.4 | 42.5 | 84.4 | -1.17 | 61.4 | 59.4 |
| Aaron Pensel | - | 21 | 27.4 | 11.3 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 8.7 | 10.8 | -21 | -1.0 | -4.9 | 46.4 | 38.1 | 71.8 | 1.11 | 55.3 | 50.8 |
| Aidan Lawlor | - | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 42 | 4.7 | 26.5 | 71.4 | 0 | 0 | 2.75 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| RJ Mayfield | - | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | -173 | -9.1 | -48.9 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.22 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Chiwer Mayen | - | 1 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 13.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.18 | 101.4 | 100.0 |
| Max Rolnick | - | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -26 | -2.2 | -31.6 | 42.9 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.17 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| David Omasombo | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 57 | 4.8 | 138.3 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.01 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Babacar Pouye | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.88 | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Gabe Hagar | - | 18 | 22.1 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 6.4 | 4.6 | -45 | -2.5 | -20.3 | 33.9 | 30.2 | 62.5 | 0.98 | 46.7 | 45.2 |
| Charlie Williams | - | 1 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 18 | 3.0 | 411.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Daniel Villanueva | - | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 3.8 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Edgardo Jacob Cancel | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -81 | -4.8 | -32.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.08 | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Jamie Lawson | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -28 | -1.6 | -13.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.4 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Josiah Dancy | - | 20 | 15.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 54 | 2.6 | 28.4 | 37.0 | 27.3 | 62.1 | -1.03 | 47.9 | 42.6 |
| Peter Psyhogeos | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 45 | 2.6 | 19.7 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.24 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Jaedon Bogar | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -31 | -1.7 | -7.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.1 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Adam Sarlan | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -27 | -1.7 | -14.7 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.4 | 85.2 | 0 |
| Karsten Walker | - | 6 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 | -29 | -3.6 | -58.7 | 50.0 | 62.5 | 0 | -0.24 | 70.8 | 70.8 |
| Wade Hill | - | 13 | 17.4 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4.7 | -18 | -1.4 | -8.9 | 53.8 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -1.12 | 57.6 | 55.8 |
| Noah Eckhart | - | 20 | 22.6 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 27 | 1.2 | 10.7 | 26.8 | 22.7 | 71.4 | 1.57 | 40.2 | 35.7 |
| Sean O'Leary | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 25 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rayquan Anderson | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.92 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Travis Jordan | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -42 | -3.5 | -66.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Vince Russman | - | 20 | 11.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.3 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.5 | 52.0 | 16.7 | 88.9 | -1.33 | 60.4 | 54.0 |
| Nick Martine | - | 6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | -20 | -2.9 | -147.2 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.26 | 46.1 | 31.2 |
| Abhi Mahil | - | 11 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | -44 | -3.4 | -199.6 | 35.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.45 | 37.3 | 38.2 |
| Jonathan Hardy | - | 1 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Kristian Schumann | - | 5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -8 | -1.6 | -86.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.52 | 58.1 | 66.7 |
| Will Hawes | - | 7 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | -8 | -0.9 | -17.8 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Tyler Wright | - | 8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -8 | -0.8 | -43.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.43 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Aydan Gedeon-Hope | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Senft | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -34 | -2.6 | -15.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aiden Dunlap | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -12 | -1.5 | -42.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG