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MSU Denver

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: MSU Denver
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 854 (#243) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 890 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 880 (#547) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -0.4 (#233) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -4.3 (#389) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.619 (#115) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -16.9 More → 0.120 (#271) NetEff -16.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.788 (#107) AdjNet +11.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.6 More → 0.795 (#107) AdjNet +11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.691 (#109) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.385 (#470) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 78.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.343 (#436) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.344 (#435) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 856 (#416) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-16 vs Tex. A&M Int'l L 96 - 107
2025-11-17 vs Sul Ross St. W 113 - 103
2025-11-20 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville L 61 - 92
2025-11-22 @ St. Mary's (TX) L 59 - 75
2025-11-28 @ Eastern N.M. L 65 - 78
2025-11-29 vs UT Permian Basin L 93 - 103
2025-12-04 vs Fort Lewis L 76 - 81
2025-12-07 vs Adams St. L 59 - 87
2025-12-11 @ Western Colo. W 87 - 83
2025-12-13 @ Westminster (UT) W 81 - 70
2025-12-18 vs Fort Hays St. L 64 - 68
2025-12-20 vs Neb.-Kearney W 88 - 74
2026-01-08 vs South Dakota Mines L 62 - 68
2026-01-10 vs Black Hills St. W 77 - 73
2026-01-15 @ Colo. Christian L 70 - 79
2026-01-17 @ UCCS L 85 - 98
2026-01-20 vs Regis (CO) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ N.M. Highlands W 95 - 83
2026-01-31 @ Fort Lewis L 72 - 101
2026-02-05 vs Colorado Mesa L 70 - 74
2026-02-07 vs Western Colo. L 69 - 75
2026-02-12 @ Chadron St. L 77 - 84
2026-02-14 @ South Dakota Mines W 77 - 69
2026-02-19 vs CSU Pueblo L 58 - 67
2026-02-21 vs Colo. Christian W 73 - 65
2026-02-26 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines L 91 - 94
2026-02-28 @ Regis (CO) W 94 - 88

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Logan Threatt - 24 30.4 16.7 3.7 2.7 1.2 0.0 2.7 11.6 10.0 - - - - 44.4 36.9 88.2 - 59.9 51.8
Quave Propst-Allison - 26 29.4 14.2 3.3 3.3 1.5 0.2 2.8 10.6 9.0 - - - - 45.1 42.1 79.3 - 58.7 54.4
Garrett Falls - 18 26.1 12.7 3.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 2.6 8.6 7.6 - - - - 46.8 40.0 78.5 - 60.4 53.9
Amare Bethel - 24 19.6 8.3 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.8 6.8 4.0 - - - - 43.3 32.1 74.4 - 54.7 51.2
Adam Hackett - 26 19.3 7.9 4.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.4 6.8 5.6 - - - - 43.5 33.3 59.3 - 51.1 48.9
Daniel Thomason - 26 22.3 6.5 3.8 1.6 1.0 0.4 1.3 4.5 7.5 - - - - 49.1 39.0 71.7 - 60.3 56.0
Brian Unachukwu - 25 23.1 5.0 5.4 0.5 0.4 2.1 1.0 3.0 9.4 - - - - 73.0 0 57.1 - 71.8 73.0
Caden Holmes - 22 17.9 4.9 3.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 4.2 4.7 - - - - 41.3 29.6 59.3 - 52.0 50.0
Nathan Francis - 10 15.1 4.8 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.9 4.1 3.9 - - - - 41.5 38.9 0.0 - 57.9 58.5
Nathan Macadory - 15 11.1 3.8 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.1 1.2 3.6 1.5 - - - - 38.9 32.4 80.0 - 50.7 49.1
Jacob Barker - 26 11.3 2.5 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.9 2.8 - - - - 55.1 0 68.8 - 58.0 55.1
Landon Braun - 8 5.6 0.9 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 - - - - 33.3 0 25.0 - 32.5 33.3
Jackson McAdams - 10 4.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 - - - - 33.3 20.0 50.0 - 43.6 41.7
Isaiah Freeman - 6 4.2 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 60.0 - 35.7 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG