🐻⬇️🏀

MIT

Also known as: MIT
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 801 (#604) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 907 (#480) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 868 (#707) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -7.7 (#314) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -10.1 (#530) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.189 (#672) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.8 More → 0.140 (#591) AdjNet -15.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.8 More → 0.137 (#590) AdjNet -15.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 82.5 More → 0.256 (#586) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 82.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.373 (#605) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.272 (#601) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.275 (#614) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 23 More → 882 (#495) RD 102 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Harvard - Incomplete score
2025-11-10 @ Wentworth - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ Endicott - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Rhode Island Col. - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Salem St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 @ Framingham St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Fitchburg St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Tufts - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Bowdoin - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Clark (MA) - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Salve Regina - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ UMass Dartmouth - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Springfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Wheaton (MA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 vs Emerson - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ WPI - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 vs Babson - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Coast Guard - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Clark (MA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Springfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Salve Regina - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Wheaton (MA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Emerson - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jalen Jackson - 1 33.0 29.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 20.0 -3 -0.8 -1.6 52.9 60.0 61.5 0.08 63.8 61.8
Omri Merryman - 1 37.0 18.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 18.0 5.0 11 0.7 3.2 38.9 40.0 0.0 -3.53 48.8 50.0
Colin Mannke - 1 30.0 16.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 13.0 -69 -5.3 -32.0 35.7 37.5 75.0 0.53 50.8 46.4
Jamel Walker - 1 37.0 15.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 9.0 28 2.0 7.6 45.5 0.0 83.3 0.38 55.0 45.5
Isaac Dobie - 16 28.4 13.2 4.2 1.8 0.9 0.0 3.1 11.4 5.7 -58 -3.6 -17.9 39.0 28.7 63.4 -2.02 49.7 45.9
Parker Spann - 12 31.8 12.7 6.2 1.8 1.5 0.5 2.7 10.3 9.6 -49 -4.1 -10.2 47.6 30.0 52.8 0.57 51.6 50.0
Michael Zhang - 16 28.5 11.6 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.8 10.8 3.1 -15 -0.9 -3.9 38.7 35.2 77.8 1.66 51.1 49.4
Domonick Victor - 1 19.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 5.0 -5 -0.7 -6.7 50.0 25.0 0.0 -0.59 52.7 55.0
Duvall Price - 1 26.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 2 0.2 3.9 33.3 25.0 57.1 -1.6 45.5 38.9
Russell Dolabany - 1 32.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 1.0 -65 -4.6 -29.0 30.8 12.5 66.7 -0.8 38.4 34.6
Raheim Orleans - 1 32.0 10.0 17.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 21.0 20 1.3 4.6 100.0 0 0.0 0.95 74.0 100.0
Vondre Chase - 1 29.0 10.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 10.0 -27 -2.1 -11.6 28.6 40.0 100.0 -1.14 57.1 42.9
Wellbi Perez Valera - 1 14.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 12 6.0 230.4 80.0 0.0 50.0 - 74.0 80.0
Nicolas Von Zboray - 1 23.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 2.0 30 2.5 19.8 50.0 50.0 0 3.98 62.5 62.5
Wyatt Mowery - 18 24.8 9.8 5.5 1.7 0.6 2.1 2.6 8.8 8.2 -59 -3.3 -14.0 38.4 34.8 86.1 -1.55 50.3 45.6
Dylan Olson - 1 18.0 9.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 -45 -3.2 -19.6 44.4 20.0 0 0.41 50.0 50.0
Rome Delgado-Gonzalez - 18 34.6 8.7 4.7 2.3 0.7 0.3 2.0 6.8 7.8 -21 -1.2 -3.7 39.3 36.2 90.7 2.12 55.4 48.0
Jackson Weiland - 6 31.9 8.7 3.5 3.0 1.0 0.3 2.2 6.7 7.7 12 2.0 13.0 47.5 42.9 72.7 2.54 58.0 55.0
Sean Racette - 1 19.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 -42 -4.2 -127.9 33.3 0 83.3 -3.37 62.1 33.3
Merlin Gogolin - 18 15.9 5.9 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.3 1.2 4.8 5.0 -33 -1.8 -12.2 48.8 28.6 60.0 -0.07 52.8 50.0
Will Bland - 2 16.9 5.5 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 2.5 4.5 7.5 - - - 55.6 33.3 0.0 -0.48 55.7 61.1
Mike Ewing - 13 21.3 5.0 3.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 4.6 3.8 -32 -2.5 -16.8 41.7 31.2 62.5 -1.33 51.2 50.0
Jeremiah Simeon - 1 20.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 -6 -0.6 -8.1 16.7 0.0 100.0 -2.85 34.2 16.7
Woods Windham - 11 13.3 4.0 3.8 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.6 3.4 5.2 -54 -4.9 -27.2 45.9 20.0 56.2 -3.41 50.0 47.3
Paulius Karvelis - 2 12.6 4.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.5 -1 -0.5 -2.4 14.3 25.0 83.3 - 41.5 21.4
Wil Martinez - 1 23.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 51 3.4 19.8 33.3 50.0 0 1.44 50.0 50.0
Andy Weeman - 1 11.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -46 -3.5 -36.2 100.0 0 50.0 -1.67 79.8 100.0
Henry Marshall - 11 9.3 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.6 -74 -6.7 -109.0 36.8 35.7 83.3 -6.07 55.5 50.0
Daniel Allen - 2 4.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 3.24 50.0 50.0
Makyle Hayes - 1 10.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -39 -3.2 -80.8 50.0 0.0 0 -2.31 50.0 50.0
Josh Saint Jean - 1 15.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -4 -0.4 -7.2 50.0 0 0 -1.48 50.0 50.0
Takoma Rosario - 1 14.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 3 0.2 2.3 100.0 0 0 -1.22 100.0 100.0
Dusan Dobric - 1 8.4 2.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Chase Mello - 1 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 -42 -3.2 -30.7 33.3 0.0 0 -0.68 33.3 33.3
Samuel Chen - 14 12.6 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.4 2.3 1.5 -19 -1.5 -5.6 18.8 28.6 50.0 -0.23 25.9 25.0
Steven Jean-Louis - 1 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3 -1.0 -9.6 0.0 0 50.0 -0.79 26.6 0.0
Batuhan Goktas - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 20 6.7 67.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.42 0.0 0.0
Michael Makiej - 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 21 1.4 10.8 0 0 0 -1.61 0 0
Nelson Obarisiagbon - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 46 3.5 36.1 0.0 0 0 2.09 0.0 0.0
Benjamin Eshun - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.22 0 0
Fallou Koite - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -51 -3.9 -23.4 0.0 0.0 0 -3.53 0.0 0.0
Ja'Quin Taylor - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 8 1.0 12.6 0.0 0.0 0 1.2 0.0 0.0
Thomas Engel-Chatten - 1 21.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 -30 -3.8 -21.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.67 0.0 0.0
Tyriek Williams - 1 13.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -13 -1.6 -11.0 0.0 0.0 0 -4.29 0.0 0.0
Yusuf Young - 1 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aiden Flaherty - 1 21.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -3.0 -18 -1.5 -29.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.47 0.0 0.0
Hunter Larson - 1 21.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.05 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG