Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 748 (#371) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 883 (#281) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 868 (#707) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.9 (#232) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.1 (#530) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.189 (#353) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.140 (#287) | AdjNet -15.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.137 (#286) | AdjNet -15.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.256 (#285) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 82.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.373 (#605) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 75.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.272 (#601) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.275 (#614) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 882 (#495) | RD 102 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Harvard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Wentworth | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Endicott | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Salem St. | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Framingham St. | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Fitchburg St. | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Tufts | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Bowdoin | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 68 - 84 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Salve Regina | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Springfield | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Emerson | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | WPI | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Babson | L | 51 - 80 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Coast Guard | L | 80 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Clark (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Springfield | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Salve Regina | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Emerson | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | WPI | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Babson | L | 49 - 61 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Coast Guard | L | 91 - 93 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Dobie | - | 17 | 28.5 | 14.1 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 6.2 | - | - | - | - | 40.3 | 31.0 | 64.4 | - | 51.5 | 48.0 |
| Parker Spann | - | 13 | 32.1 | 12.8 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 10.6 | 8.9 | - | - | - | - | 46.4 | 32.0 | 51.7 | - | 50.8 | 49.3 |
| Michael Zhang | - | 17 | 29.1 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 10.7 | 3.2 | - | - | - | - | 39.0 | 35.1 | 77.8 | - | 51.3 | 49.7 |
| Rome Delgado-Gonzalez | - | 23 | 34.5 | 9.4 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 9.5 | - | - | - | - | 40.6 | 38.7 | 88.6 | - | 58.4 | 50.0 |
| Wyatt Mowery | - | 19 | 24.4 | 9.4 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 38.3 | 34.8 | 86.1 | - | 50.3 | 45.7 |
| Jackson Weiland | - | 6 | 31.9 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 6.7 | 7.7 | - | - | - | - | 47.5 | 42.9 | 72.7 | - | 58.0 | 55.0 |
| Merlin Gogolin | - | 23 | 16.7 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 5.4 | - | - | - | - | 43.9 | 25.0 | 66.0 | - | 49.6 | 44.7 |
| Will Bland | - | 2 | 16.9 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | - | 55.7 | 61.1 |
| Mike Ewing | - | 18 | 21.8 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 4.1 | - | - | - | - | 41.6 | 35.9 | 59.1 | - | 52.5 | 50.6 |
| Paulius Karvelis | - | 2 | 12.6 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 14.3 | 25.0 | 83.3 | - | 41.5 | 21.4 |
| Woods Windham | - | 12 | 13.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 4.8 | - | - | - | - | 43.9 | 16.7 | 56.2 | - | 47.9 | 45.1 |
| Henry Marshall | - | 15 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 34.8 | 33.3 | 81.8 | - | 55.7 | 47.8 |
| Daniel Allen | - | 2 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dusan Dobric | - | 1 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Samuel Chen | - | 18 | 11.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 17.1 | 28.6 | 50.0 | - | 23.7 | 22.9 |
| Yusuf Young | - | 1 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG