Lycoming
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 879 (#297) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 848 (#310) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#670) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.8 (#262) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.7 (#525) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.193 (#352) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.614 (#37) | NetEff +4.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.097 (#329) | AdjNet -19.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.092 (#329) | AdjNet -19.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.219 (#322) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 82.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.392 (#587) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.276 (#596) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.292 (#596) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 885 (#491) | RD 109 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Alfred | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Hiram | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Keuka | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Dickinson | L | 54 - 60 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Wilkes | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Catholic | L | 49 - 82 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | King's (PA) | W | 98 - 78 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Goucher | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Drew | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Texas Lutheran | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lebanon Valley | W | 87 - 85 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Susquehanna | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Moravian | L | 81 - 88 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Scranton | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Elizabethtown | L | 66 - 86 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Juniata | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Catholic | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wilkes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Drew | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Goucher | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Susquehanna | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Scranton | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Moravian | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Juniata | L | 60 - 79 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Elizabethtown | L | 48 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Layton | - | 16 | 28.4 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 10.9 | 8.9 | - | - | - | - | 43.1 | 32.9 | 73.7 | - | 55.4 | 50.0 |
| Isaiah Valentine | - | 24 | 34.4 | 12.7 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 10.3 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 44.8 | 37.9 | 63.5 | - | 56.3 | 54.8 |
| Hayden Pardoe | - | 23 | 29.1 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 9.1 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 31.2 | 79.7 | - | 49.3 | 43.5 |
| Noa'Sosa Friedman | - | 24 | 29.8 | 10.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.4 | 8.7 | - | - | - | - | 57.6 | 25.0 | 49.4 | - | 58.3 | 58.8 |
| Connor Shanahan | - | 25 | 21.1 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 5.4 | - | - | - | - | 38.1 | 33.3 | 68.2 | - | 47.6 | 44.6 |
| Elisha Slabach | - | 22 | 18.9 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 31.2 | 26.5 | 84.0 | - | 44.5 | 40.6 |
| J.J. Beagle | - | 25 | 21.5 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 5.6 | - | - | - | - | 48.1 | 31.8 | 56.7 | - | 52.0 | 50.7 |
| Charlie Sims | - | 14 | 11.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | 34.9 | 37.0 | 0 | - | 46.5 | 46.5 |
| Gabriel Buksh | - | 17 | 9.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | 30.2 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 44.7 | 43.0 |
| Noah Mathis | - | 25 | 16.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 37.0 | 23.1 | 54.5 | - | 44.2 | 42.6 |
| Lane Yoder | - | 9 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 50.0 | 57.1 | - | 56.4 | 54.2 |
| Blessing Ekwuazi | - | 5 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Ben Dalton | - | 11 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 46.1 | 37.5 |
| Roman Panko | - | 4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Ethan Bomgardner | - | 5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG