Lycoming
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 925 (#493) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 857 (#542) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#670) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.2 (#344) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.7 (#525) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.193 (#670) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.614 (#37) | NetEff +4.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.097 (#648) | AdjNet -19.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.092 (#648) | AdjNet -19.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.219 (#639) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 82.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.392 (#587) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.276 (#596) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.292 (#596) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 885 (#491) | RD 109 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Hiram | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Dickinson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Wilkes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Catholic | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | King's (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Goucher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Drew | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Texas Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lebanon Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Susquehanna | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Moravian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Scranton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Elizabethtown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Juniata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Catholic | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wilkes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Drew | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Goucher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Susquehanna | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton Layton | - | 16 | 28.4 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 10.9 | 8.9 | -50 | -3.1 | -22.7 | 43.1 | 32.9 | 73.7 | 0.16 | 55.4 | 50.0 |
| Hayden Pardoe | - | 19 | 29.2 | 13.2 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 10.6 | 10.2 | -104 | -5.5 | -25.9 | 40.3 | 33.3 | 79.5 | -1.33 | 53.6 | 47.8 |
| Isaiah Valentine | - | 20 | 33.9 | 12.6 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 9.9 | 9.6 | -81 | -4.3 | -13.0 | 46.5 | 35.5 | 63.0 | -1.0 | 57.5 | 56.1 |
| Noa'Sosa Friedman | - | 21 | 28.8 | 9.3 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 6.7 | 8.2 | -48 | -2.4 | -9.4 | 56.0 | 8.3 | 51.4 | 1.7 | 56.8 | 56.4 |
| Connor Shanahan | - | 21 | 21.8 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 6.1 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 39.0 | 32.8 | 66.7 | 2.16 | 48.3 | 45.3 |
| Elisha Slabach | - | 18 | 19.3 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.7 | 2.1 | -10 | -0.6 | -3.6 | 32.2 | 26.8 | 78.9 | 0.25 | 44.4 | 41.3 |
| J.J. Beagle | - | 21 | 20.3 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | -63 | -3.1 | -18.3 | 50.0 | 35.3 | 52.6 | -1.53 | 53.5 | 53.0 |
| Charlie Sims | - | 12 | 11.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | -22 | -2.0 | -9.0 | 33.3 | 36.0 | 0 | -0.92 | 44.9 | 44.9 |
| Noah Mathis | - | 21 | 16.7 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 3.5 | -22 | -1.1 | -8.2 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 54.5 | -1.36 | 45.4 | 43.8 |
| Lane Yoder | - | 8 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -8 | -1.3 | -73.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 57.1 | - | 53.5 | 50.0 |
| Gabriel Buksh | - | 14 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | -41 | -3.7 | -45.3 | 25.0 | 22.2 | 75.0 | -3.57 | 36.9 | 33.3 |
| Blessing Ekwuazi | - | 4 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -2 | -0.7 | -47.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Ben Dalton | - | 8 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 8 | 1.3 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Roman Panko | - | 4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Ethan Bomgardner | - | 4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -6 | -2.0 | -58.5 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG