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Luther

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Luther
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 948 (#471) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 923 (#457) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 881 (#698) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -8.9 (#246) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -11.6 (#554) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.217 (#656) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.8 More → 0.169 (#562) AdjNet -13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.0 More → 0.162 (#565) AdjNet -14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 71.1 More → 0.303 (#540) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 71.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 70.6 More → 0.372 (#608) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.264 (#613) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.270 (#618) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 21 More → 870 (#509) RD 101 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Macalester W 80 - 70
2025-11-12 vs Crown (MN) W 53 - 48
2025-11-15 @ Bethany Lutheran W 86 - 74
2025-11-18 vs Emmaus W 77 - 53
2025-11-22 @ Hamline L 52 - 60
2025-11-25 vs St. Olaf L 57 - 67
2025-12-03 @ Wartburg L 56 - 74
2025-12-06 vs Neb. Wesleyan L 53 - 70
2025-12-10 @ Viterbo W 84 - 69
2025-12-14 vs Concordia-M'head L 62 - 67
2025-12-20 @ Cornell College L 60 - 69
2026-01-03 vs Simpson L 70 - 77
2026-01-07 @ Coe L 70 - 77
2026-01-10 vs Central (IA) W 80 - 70
2026-01-14 vs Loras L 61 - 74
2026-01-17 @ Buena Vista L 63 - 66
2026-01-21 vs Dubuque L 47 - 71
2026-01-24 @ Neb. Wesleyan L 57 - 64
2026-01-28 vs Wartburg L 66 - 75
2026-01-31 @ Simpson W 86 - 79
2026-02-04 vs Coe L 55 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Andre Palavra - 21 22.9 11.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.1 10.4 4.9 -20 -1.1 -7.5 35.8 40.0 75.0 -0.31 49.4 44.5
Charlie Wunderlich - 21 27.8 9.9 3.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.9 9.6 4.0 -28 -1.4 -8.4 40.1 32.3 58.3 0.62 48.9 48.0
Henry Kreckman - 21 26.3 9.4 7.7 1.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 7.3 10.8 -55 -2.8 -19.4 51.6 0 61.9 -1.64 54.5 51.6
Jeremy Andera - 20 27.9 8.6 3.1 1.4 1.4 0.1 1.0 6.7 7.0 -8 -0.4 -2.3 48.9 41.2 69.0 2.05 58.7 56.8
Owen Bockenstedt - 21 24.5 7.0 5.8 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.0 6.0 7.9 -18 -0.9 -5.4 41.3 35.9 68.2 1.03 54.2 52.4
Javier Rowell - 21 19.5 5.9 2.1 1.7 0.5 0.0 1.1 5.2 4.0 -42 -2.1 -16.6 37.6 28.6 53.7 -1.37 44.8 40.4
Owen Poloronis - 18 10.5 3.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 3.3 1.5 -63 -3.9 -67.1 45.0 41.7 83.3 -1.14 55.1 53.3
Clint Smith - 21 13.2 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.2 1.7 -56 -2.8 -32.9 35.8 34.9 80.0 -1.34 48.4 47.0
Yigit Yarisci - 21 14.3 3.0 4.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.8 -22 -1.2 -12.6 44.2 0 57.1 1.92 48.2 44.2
Charlie Mason - 18 9.7 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.7 1.6 -4 -0.2 -2.7 37.5 28.6 66.7 2.29 46.5 41.7
Jordan Hoover - 13 6.9 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.9 0.6 -16 -1.5 -44.6 36.0 36.4 0.0 -0.36 43.2 44.0
Kyanu Simeone - 6 7.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.5 -0.7 10 2.0 22.6 22.2 22.2 0 -1.38 33.3 33.3
Dimitrios Kontorigas - 3 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Gideon Armah-Amissah - 5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Jake Collis - 13 4.6 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 -17 -1.4 -23.6 0.0 0.0 50.0 -3.41 6.3 0.0
Harrison Hilyer - 5 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rylan Ruf - 3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Stevan Bozic - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Greydon Isebrand - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG