Luther
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 923 (#496) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 915 (#472) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 881 (#698) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.9 (#326) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.6 (#554) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.217 (#656) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.169 (#562) | AdjNet -13.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.162 (#565) | AdjNet -14.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.303 (#540) | AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.372 (#608) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.264 (#612) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.270 (#618) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 870 (#501) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Emmaus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Hamline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | St. Olaf | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Viterbo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Concordia-M'head | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Cornell College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Loras | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Buena Vista | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Dubuque | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Coe | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Palavra | - | 21 | 22.9 | 11.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 10.4 | 4.9 | -20 | -1.1 | -7.5 | 35.8 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 1.2 | 49.4 | 44.5 |
| Charlie Wunderlich | - | 21 | 27.8 | 9.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 9.6 | 4.0 | -28 | -1.4 | -8.4 | 40.1 | 32.3 | 58.3 | -0.58 | 48.9 | 48.0 |
| Henry Kreckman | - | 21 | 26.3 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 10.8 | -55 | -2.8 | -19.4 | 51.6 | 0 | 61.9 | -1.23 | 54.5 | 51.6 |
| Jeremy Andera | - | 20 | 27.9 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 7.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 48.9 | 41.2 | 69.0 | 1.91 | 58.7 | 56.8 |
| Owen Bockenstedt | - | 21 | 24.5 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.9 | -18 | -0.9 | -5.4 | 41.3 | 35.9 | 68.2 | 1.27 | 54.2 | 52.4 |
| Javier Rowell | - | 21 | 19.5 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 4.0 | -42 | -2.1 | -16.6 | 37.6 | 28.6 | 53.7 | -0.75 | 44.8 | 40.4 |
| Owen Poloronis | - | 18 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | -63 | -3.9 | -67.1 | 45.0 | 41.7 | 83.3 | -2.83 | 55.1 | 53.3 |
| Clint Smith | - | 21 | 13.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 1.7 | -56 | -2.8 | -32.9 | 35.8 | 34.9 | 80.0 | -3.24 | 48.4 | 47.0 |
| Yigit Yarisci | - | 21 | 14.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 4.8 | -22 | -1.2 | -12.6 | 44.2 | 0 | 57.1 | 0.29 | 48.2 | 44.2 |
| Charlie Mason | - | 18 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.7 | 37.5 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -0.64 | 46.5 | 41.7 |
| Jordan Hoover | - | 13 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | -16 | -1.5 | -44.6 | 36.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 | -1.53 | 43.2 | 44.0 |
| Kyanu Simeone | - | 6 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | -0.7 | 10 | 2.0 | 22.6 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 0 | -0.35 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Dimitrios Kontorigas | - | 3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Gideon Armah-Amissah | - | 5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jake Collis | - | 13 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -17 | -1.4 | -23.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.25 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
| Harrison Hilyer | - | 5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Rylan Ruf | - | 3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Stevan Bozic | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Greydon Isebrand | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG