🐻⬇️🏀

Loras

Also known as: Loras
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1201 (#42) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1146 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1103 (#94) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +6.3 (#120) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +3.1 (#300) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.826 (#282) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.0 More → 0.760 (#251) AdjNet +10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.8 More → 0.758 (#250) AdjNet +9.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 75.1 More → 0.673 (#246) AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 75.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.650 (#146) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.640 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.646 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 23 More → 1164 (#86) RD 93 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs DePauw - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 vs Kalamazoo - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Blackburn - Incomplete score
2025-11-16 @ Southern Ind. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Wis.-Superior - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Dubuque - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Simpson - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Wartburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Westminster (MO) - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 @ Monmouth (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Lake Forest - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 vs Bethany Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Coe - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Central (IA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Buena Vista - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Luther - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Neb. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Simpson - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Dubuque - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Wartburg - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Central (IA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Coe - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jack Haynes - 18 27.7 15.9 9.0 1.0 1.2 0.4 1.2 10.9 15.4 97 5.4 20.6 55.8 41.7 75.0 0.47 62.3 58.4
Nolan Berendes - 22 30.1 13.3 6.9 1.3 1.1 0.5 1.2 9.9 12.0 125 5.7 26.4 46.3 38.6 81.2 0.5 61.1 58.0
Gavin Sarvis - 19 25.5 13.0 3.8 3.0 1.5 0.5 2.2 9.9 9.6 65 3.4 19.6 45.5 35.6 72.0 0.01 55.6 51.1
Kyle Kober - 22 22.7 9.7 2.4 1.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 6.0 97 4.4 22.8 44.6 34.3 68.3 1.76 55.4 51.8
Dylan Kurt - 20 17.1 7.7 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 1.2 5.8 6.0 118 5.9 52.5 39.1 30.5 82.1 2.73 55.1 47.0
Emmett Loew - 11 21.2 7.6 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.1 1.3 6.7 3.6 -26 -2.4 -17.8 40.5 31.2 90.0 -3.65 53.6 50.7
Johnny Semany - 20 19.2 6.7 2.8 1.8 1.1 0.1 0.8 4.8 6.7 66 3.3 24.6 45.4 40.0 73.2 2.66 58.2 53.6
Damyen Jackson - 21 18.3 5.7 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.3 1.5 4.7 5.2 133 6.3 42.7 42.4 36.4 74.2 4.94 52.8 48.5
Deng Makeer - 20 12.3 5.6 1.7 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 4.7 3.4 60 3.0 30.9 41.5 38.6 53.8 2.49 56.2 55.9
Brock Massey - 17 17.8 5.4 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.5 4.1 7.2 91 5.4 39.7 44.3 24.0 85.2 1.19 55.6 48.6
Lukas Balling - 8 9.6 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.9 -31 -3.9 -231.8 33.3 50.0 100.0 -4.28 49.2 35.7
Patrick Quarnstrom - 11 6.8 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.6 10 0.9 7.4 44.4 16.7 62.5 -1.77 51.1 47.2
Patrick Coen - 14 6.7 1.9 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.2 -11 -0.8 -13.4 50.0 30.0 75.0 -3.87 59.7 57.5
Juvon Crawford - 5 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.8 -3 -0.8 -19.1 40.0 40.0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Jim Navarrete - 6 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 1.2 -6 -1.2 -31.9 50.0 0 100.0 - 58.1 50.0
Ethan Meyer - 6 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 -4 -0.8 -22.8 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Athan Berchos - 7 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 -2 -0.3 -5.2 25.0 25.0 100.0 - 56.4 37.5
Connor Mosele - 6 7.0 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.5 -1 -0.2 -1.3 11.1 16.7 0 -0.44 16.7 16.7
Cooper Grams - 5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.8 -8 -2.0 -34.8 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG