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Loras

Also known as: Loras
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1242 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1173 (#68) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More โ†’ 1103 (#94) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +5.9 (#48) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +3.1 (#300) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.826 (#31) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.0 More โ†’ 0.760 (#35) AdjNet +10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.8 More โ†’ 0.758 (#34) AdjNet +9.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 75.1 More โ†’ 0.673 (#30) AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 75.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 74.8 More โ†’ 0.650 (#146) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.640 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.646 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 23 More โ†’ 1164 (#86) RD 93 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs DePauw L 74 - 77
2025-11-09 vs Kalamazoo W 105 - 52
2025-11-14 @ Blackburn W 71 - 66
2025-11-16 @ Southern Ind. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ North Central (IL) W 73 - 69
2025-11-29 @ Wis.-Superior W 68 - 65
2025-12-03 @ Dubuque W 84 - 69
2025-12-06 @ Simpson W 85 - 81
2025-12-13 vs Wartburg W 91 - 79
2025-12-15 @ Westminster (MO) L 79 - 84
2025-12-18 @ Monmouth (IL) W 81 - 59
2025-12-30 vs Lake Forest L 88 - 97
2025-12-31 vs Bethany Lutheran W 93 - 87
2026-01-03 vs Coe W 85 - 76
2026-01-07 @ Central (IA) W 90 - 60
2026-01-10 vs Buena Vista W 96 - 69
2026-01-14 @ Luther W 74 - 61
2026-01-17 @ Neb. Wesleyan L 74 - 82
2026-01-24 vs Simpson - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Dubuque - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Wartburg - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Central (IA) W 89 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Coe L 74 - 78
2026-02-11 vs Luther W 63 - 58
2026-02-14 vs Neb. Wesleyan W 72 - 66
2026-02-21 @ Buena Vista L 62 - 65
2026-02-26 vs Coe W 72 - 71
2026-02-28 vs Dubuque W 83 - 62
2026-03-06 @ Wis.-Whitewater L 76 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jack Haynes - 24 29.4 16.5 9.3 0.9 1.2 0.5 1.1 11.5 15.8 - - - - 56.4 31.7 69.9 - 61.7 58.7
Gavin Sarvis - 25 26.0 13.2 3.8 3.0 1.2 0.5 2.3 10.1 9.4 - - - - 44.8 30.4 74.3 - 55.2 49.6
Nolan Berendes - 28 31.0 13.0 6.9 1.4 1.2 0.6 1.3 9.6 12.2 - - - - 44.4 37.3 85.5 - 60.2 55.6
Kyle Kober - 28 21.7 8.6 2.7 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.8 7.0 5.8 - - - - 40.8 30.0 70.9 - 52.0 46.9
Dylan Kurt - 21 17.3 7.9 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 1.3 5.9 6.0 - - - - 39.0 31.2 83.3 - 55.6 47.2
Damyen Jackson - 27 20.2 7.1 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 1.6 5.7 5.4 - - - - 43.9 38.3 77.3 - 55.3 51.3
Emmett Loew - 13 17.9 6.5 0.8 1.5 1.1 0.1 1.1 5.7 3.1 - - - - 40.5 31.2 90.0 - 53.6 50.7
Johnny Semany - 26 19.9 6.2 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.1 1.3 4.8 5.7 - - - - 43.5 33.3 68.6 - 54.6 50.4
Deng Makeer - 26 11.6 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 4.3 2.7 - - - - 38.1 35.3 53.8 - 51.8 51.3
Brock Massey - 23 14.3 4.0 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.5 3.2 5.3 - - - - 41.9 21.4 82.8 - 53.0 45.9
Lukas Balling - 12 7.6 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.8 - - - - 31.8 50.0 100.0 - 49.5 34.1
Patrick Coen - 17 5.8 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.8 - - - - 50.0 30.0 75.0 - 59.7 57.5
Patrick Quarnstrom - 17 5.7 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.6 - - - - 40.0 14.3 60.0 - 47.1 42.5
Connor Mosele - 11 9.8 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.2 - - - - 17.6 25.0 75.0 - 32.0 26.5
Jim Navarrete - 8 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 58.1 50.0
Juvon Crawford - 7 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.6 - - - - 40.0 40.0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Ethan Meyer - 8 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Athan Berchos - 9 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 - - - - 25.0 25.0 100.0 - 56.4 37.5
Cooper Grams - 7 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.4 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Samuel Hirsch - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG