Longwood
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1094 (#117) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1161 (#60) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1008 (#380) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +33.0 (#45) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.998 (#99) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.986 (#55) | AdjNet +36.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.988 (#56) | AdjNet +36.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.918 (#68) | AdjO 86.6 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.878 (#7) | AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.930 (#12) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.916 (#11) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1177 (#78) | RD 265 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Tucker | - | 3 | 21.2 | 16.7 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.3 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 78.6 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 81.6 | 78.6 |
| Jacoi Hutchinson | - | 2 | 21.7 | 15.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 75.9 | 72.2 |
| Emanuel Richards | - | 3 | 21.5 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 65.0 | 0.0 | 76.9 | - | 70.0 | 65.0 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | - | 3 | 23.1 | 11.3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.7 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 40.0 | 66.7 | - | 82.4 | 83.3 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. | - | 3 | 23.6 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 6.7 | 7.7 | 42 | 2.3 | 11.7 | 55.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.15 | 67.0 | 65.0 |
| Johan Nziemi | - | 2 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 100.0 | 75.0 | - | 83.6 | 83.3 |
| Jaylen Benard | - | 3 | 20.6 | 8.0 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 52.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 55.5 | 52.6 |
| Elijah Jones | - | 2 | 17.8 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 13 | 1.1 | 23.6 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 87.5 | 1.2 | 56.4 | 37.5 |
| Jaylin Payne | - | 3 | 14.4 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 63 | 4.8 | 25.3 | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | 0.76 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Elijah Kelly | - | 3 | 15.4 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 68 | 3.8 | 26.9 | 45.5 | 42.9 | 0 | 1.03 | 59.1 | 59.1 |
| KJ McClurg | - | 1 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 23.1 | 16.7 |
| Isaiah Kalala | - | 3 | 7.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 76.7 | 100.0 |
| Jerome Williams | - | 3 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 32 | 2.3 | 47.9 | 42.9 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -2.75 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG