🐻⬇️🏀

Longwood

Also known as: Longwood
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1094 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1161 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1008 (#380) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +33.0 (#45) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#99) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +36.9 More → 0.986 (#55) AdjNet +36.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.7 More → 0.988 (#56) AdjNet +36.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.6 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.918 (#68) AdjO 86.6 | AdjD 60.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.878 (#7) AdjO 87.9 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.930 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.916 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 265 | GP 3 More → 1177 (#78) RD 265 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Mary Baldwin W 92 - 55
2025-12-03 vs Pfeiffer W 101 - 55
2025-12-28 vs Averett W 92 - 49

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elijah Tucker - 3 21.2 16.7 6.3 2.3 1.0 0.0 4.0 9.3 13.0 - - - 78.6 0 100.0 - 81.6 78.6
Jacoi Hutchinson - 2 21.7 15.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 9.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 100.0 - 75.9 72.2
Emanuel Richards - 3 21.5 12.0 5.0 2.3 1.0 0.0 1.7 6.7 12.0 - - - 65.0 0.0 76.9 - 70.0 65.0
Alphonzo Billups III - 3 23.1 11.3 4.3 2.7 1.7 0.7 2.0 6.0 12.7 - - - 77.8 40.0 66.7 - 82.4 83.3
Redd Thompson Jr. - 3 23.6 9.3 1.7 2.3 1.3 0.0 0.3 6.7 7.7 42 2.3 11.7 55.0 40.0 100.0 1.15 67.0 65.0
Johan Nziemi - 2 18.0 9.0 6.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 4.5 13.0 - - - 77.8 100.0 75.0 - 83.6 83.3
Jaylen Benard - 3 20.6 8.0 5.3 1.0 2.0 0.3 1.3 6.3 9.0 - - - 52.6 0.0 66.7 - 55.5 52.6
Elijah Jones - 2 17.8 6.5 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 4.0 10.0 13 1.1 23.6 37.5 0.0 87.5 1.2 56.4 37.5
Jaylin Payne - 3 14.4 5.3 4.0 0.7 1.3 0.7 1.3 4.7 6.0 63 4.8 25.3 57.1 0 0 0.76 57.1 57.1
Elijah Kelly - 3 15.4 4.3 3.0 1.3 0.7 1.7 1.3 3.7 6.0 68 3.8 26.9 45.5 42.9 0 1.03 59.1 59.1
KJ McClurg - 1 17.5 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 33.3 - 23.1 16.7
Isaiah Kalala - 3 7.4 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 1.0 4.3 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 76.7 100.0
Jerome Williams - 3 8.7 3.0 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.7 32 2.3 47.9 42.9 20.0 100.0 -2.75 57.1 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG