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Lock Haven

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Lock Haven
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 910 (#373) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 944 (#357) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 881 (#545) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -5.3 (#261) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -4.4 (#391) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.461 (#364) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +53.1 More → 0.998 (#43) NetEff +53.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.505 (#416) AdjNet +0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.506 (#415) AdjNet +0.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.502 (#417) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 76.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.392 (#466) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 79.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.360 (#424) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.356 (#425) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 906 (#348) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Davis & Elkins L 72 - 95
2025-11-15 vs West Va. Wesleyan W 68 - 67
2025-11-17 vs Penn St.-Scranton W 94 - 64
2025-11-20 @ Holy Family L 73 - 74
2025-11-24 vs Roberts Wesleyan W 88 - 83
2025-12-06 vs Edinboro L 61 - 74
2025-12-13 @ Clarion L 74 - 84
2025-12-17 @ Seton Hill L 58 - 92
2025-12-20 vs California (PA) L 61 - 63
2025-12-21 vs Slippery Rock W 100 - 93
2026-01-03 @ Gannon L 73 - 87
2026-01-07 @ Shepherd L 75 - 96
2026-01-10 @ Kutztown L 61 - 70
2026-01-13 vs Mansfield W 78 - 76
2026-01-17 vs Millersville W 86 - 77
2026-01-21 @ East Stroudsburg L 63 - 92
2026-01-24 vs West Chester L 62 - 73
2026-01-29 @ Shippensburg L 69 - 85
2026-01-31 vs Shepherd L 73 - 78
2026-02-02 vs Bloomsburg L 67 - 68
2026-02-04 @ Mansfield W 103 - 86
2026-02-07 vs Kutztown W 91 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dyllon Scott - 22 30.6 14.7 5.8 3.5 0.6 0.2 1.8 10.6 12.4 -61 -2.9 -11.3 45.3 38.6 76.5 -0.86 58.1 52.6
Keith Warren - 22 29.7 12.8 2.8 1.5 1.4 0.2 2.4 11.0 5.3 -68 -3.0 -13.0 40.9 26.6 88.5 2.24 52.3 46.9
Dean Coleman-Newsome - 22 32.7 11.7 3.6 3.4 1.0 0.4 2.1 10.7 7.3 -18 -0.9 -3.4 37.0 24.6 71.6 0.52 46.6 40.4
Blake Deegan - 21 24.1 10.8 6.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.5 8.7 10.3 1 0.1 0.2 47.3 41.2 58.8 0.85 57.6 56.9
Luke Kennevan - 22 27.4 9.3 4.7 2.6 1.0 0.4 2.2 7.9 7.9 -85 -4.2 -15.2 47.1 30.0 74.3 -2.03 54.1 51.4
Devon Nelson - 22 22.4 7.7 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.3 1.0 6.2 5.0 -27 -1.3 -6.9 47.1 34.5 64.0 -4.08 53.8 50.7
Mike Green - 17 11.1 4.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 3.4 1.9 1 0.1 0.8 43.9 44.2 100.0 -0.03 61.3 60.5
Deandrae Seeden - 3 3.3 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 2.3 3.7 - - - 42.9 0.0 80.0 - 54.3 42.9
Mike Knouse - 22 17.7 2.8 3.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.8 2.8 3.5 -79 -4.0 -26.1 37.1 27.7 50.0 -0.59 48.0 47.6
Chris Cornish - 22 10.4 1.5 3.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.9 -28 -1.3 -15.0 46.9 0 36.4 0.01 46.1 46.9
Byron Pinkney - 2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Blaze Angellotti - 3 2.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jack Hanna - 3 3.7 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Tom Kelly - 3 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 -0.3 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Deuce Ketner - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jake Manigault - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG