Little Rock
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1022 (#195) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1068 (#203) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 986 (#342) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1050 (#181) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.2 (#206) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.5 (#402) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.980 (#165) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.891 (#250) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.980 (#104) | NetEff +28.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.766 (#287) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.462 (#393) | AdjNet -1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.750 (#295) | AdjNet +9.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.446 (#393) | AdjNet -1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.636 (#283) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 59.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.501 (#373) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.622 (#209) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.484 (#392) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.514 (#369) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 974 (#350) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-16 | vs | Frostburg St. | W | 82 - 40 |
| 2015-11-24 | vs | Mount Union | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 82 - 90 |
| 2015-11-30 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2015-12-09 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 88 - 61 |
| 2015-12-12 | vs | D'Youville | W | 102 - 50 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ | Westminster (PA) | W | 66 - 48 |
| 2015-12-20 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-22 | vs | Waynesburg | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Hilbert | W | 58 - 46 |
| 2016-01-10 | @ | Medaille | W | 94 - 56 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 80 - 47 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 79 - 74 |
| 2016-01-18 | @ | Franciscan | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-21 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 90 - 57 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2016-01-27 | @ | Mount Aloysius | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | D'Youville | W | 91 - 55 |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Hilbert | W | 61 - 43 |
| 2016-02-10 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 86 - 62 |
| 2016-02-17 | vs | Franciscan | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Medaille | W | 99 - 54 |
| 2016-02-27 | vs | D'Youville | W | 96 - 47 |
| 2016-02-28 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 82 - 59 |
| 2016-03-04 | @ | Thomas More | L | 67 - 102 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.