Little Rock
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2015 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1022 (#195) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1068 (#203) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 986 (#342) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1050 (#181) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.2 (#206) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.5 (#402) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.980 (#165) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.891 (#250) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.980 (#104) | NetEff +28.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.766 (#287) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.462 (#393) | AdjNet -1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.750 (#295) | AdjNet +9.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.446 (#393) | AdjNet -1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.636 (#283) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 59.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.501 (#373) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.622 (#209) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.483 (#392) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.513 (#369) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 984 (#334) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2015 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-21 | vs | Saint Vincent | L | 55 - 75 |
| 2014-11-24 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2014-11-28 | vs | Otterbein | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2014-11-29 | @ | Thomas More | L | 46 - 97 |
| 2014-12-03 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 72 - 54 |
| 2014-12-06 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 65 - 44 |
| 2014-12-10 | @ | Mount Aloysius | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2014-12-13 | @ | D'Youville | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2014-12-17 | vs | Westminster (PA) | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2014-12-20 | @ | Mount Union | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2014-12-23 | @ | Waynesburg | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2015-01-10 | vs | Hilbert | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-11 | vs | Medaille | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-14 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-17 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-19 | vs | Franciscan | W | 85 - 52 |
| 2015-01-22 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-24 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-28 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2015-01-31 | vs | D'Youville | W | 88 - 53 |
| 2015-02-07 | @ | Hilbert | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2015-02-11 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2015-02-14 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-18 | @ | Franciscan | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2015-02-21 | @ | Medaille | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-27 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-28 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Preview |
| 2015-03-06 | @ | East. Mennonite | L | 76 - 77 |
2015 Roster
No roster data available for this season.