Lipscomb Bisons
Model Outputs
2009-2010
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 624 (#342) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 666 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 850 (#327) | HCA +89 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -18.4 (#328) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -17.4 (#328) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.155 (#295) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.041 (#323) | AdjNet -27.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.040 (#322) | AdjNet -27.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.178 (#327) | AdjO 52.5 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.265 (#321) | AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.116 (#331) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.127 (#330) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 653 (#334) | RD 179 | GP 30 |
2010 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-11-13 | vs | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2009-11-15 | vs | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2009-11-17 | vs | Austin Peay Governors | L | 52 - 61 |
| 2009-11-20 | vs | Winston-Salem State Rams | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ | Morehead State Eagles | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2009-11-22 | @ | Presbyterian Blue Hose | W | 52 - 45 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2009-11-30 | @ | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2009-12-03 | @ | Mercer Bears | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ | Kennesaw State Owls | L | 52 - 70 |
| 2009-12-08 | vs | Evansville Purple Aces | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2009-12-28 | vs | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2010-01-02 | vs | Stetson Hatters | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2010-01-04 | vs | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2010-01-09 | vs | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2010-01-11 | vs | Belmont Bruins | W | 74 - 68 |
| 2010-01-14 | @ | Jacksonville Dolphins | L | 48 - 66 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ | North Florida Ospreys | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2010-01-21 | vs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2010-01-23 | vs | Campbell Fighting Camels | L | 80 - 88 |
| 2010-01-27 | @ | Belmont Bruins | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | L | 59 - 82 |
| 2010-02-01 | @ | Campbell Fighting Camels | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2010-02-06 | vs | North Florida Ospreys | L | 48 - 70 |
| 2010-02-08 | vs | Jacksonville Dolphins | L | 43 - 62 |
| 2010-02-11 | @ | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | L | 58 - 88 |
| 2010-02-18 | @ | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | L | 45 - 64 |
| 2010-02-20 | @ | Stetson Hatters | L | 45 - 56 |
| 2010-02-25 | vs | Kennesaw State Owls | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2010-02-27 | vs | Mercer Bears | L | 70 - 76 |
2010 Roster
No roster data available for this season.