🐻⬇️🏀

Lincoln Memorial

Also known as: Lincoln Memorial
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1208 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1245 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1154 (#38) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +12.9 (#61) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +14.6 (#153) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.807 (#239) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.7 More → 0.945 (#113) NetEff +21.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.821 (#264) AdjNet +13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.3 More → 0.828 (#265) AdjNet +13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 58.9 More → 0.693 (#259) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 58.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 51.9 More → 0.748 (#51) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 51.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.785 (#115) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.787 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 6 More → 1207 (#42) RD 140 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs UVA Wise W 67 - 50
2026-01-23 @ Lenoir-Rhyne L 63 - 71
2026-01-28 @ Emory & Henry W 82 - 64
2026-01-30 vs Catawba W 71 - 38
2026-02-04 @ Tusculum W 70 - 47
2026-02-07 @ Wingate W 64 - 52

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kamil Collier - 6 32.7 18.8 11.2 1.7 1.8 0.2 2.5 14.5 16.7 178 8.9 46.2 54.0 20.0 69.2 3.15 57.4 54.6
Lexi Patty - 6 33.9 12.8 6.2 3.8 2.5 0.2 1.3 9.5 14.7 187 9.3 55.2 47.4 41.2 90.0 3.01 62.7 59.6
Alexa Smiddy - 6 32.1 10.0 5.0 4.5 0.7 0.3 2.2 12.0 6.3 179 8.5 45.8 29.2 28.6 100.0 2.57 40.7 38.9
Keiara Anderson - 6 26.9 6.5 4.3 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 6.5 5.5 161 7.7 52.0 33.3 31.2 100.0 2.21 48.4 46.2
Rachel Early - 4 10.2 6.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.5 2.5 23 1.8 13.6 40.9 33.3 50.0 -0.34 54.6 54.5
Kallie Housley - 4 12.0 6.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 5.0 2.5 49 3.1 32.9 40.0 44.4 0 1.29 60.0 60.0
Maleiya Hill - 6 23.2 5.8 2.5 3.3 0.8 0.5 2.0 3.3 7.7 191 9.6 55.7 45.0 75.0 82.4 3.15 63.7 52.5
Asia Barr - 6 22.7 4.3 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 2.0 5.7 1.3 98 4.7 39.2 23.5 20.0 100.0 0.36 36.4 32.4
Sariya Henry - 5 6.2 2.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.6 46 2.7 75.6 36.4 100.0 50.0 -2.93 43.1 40.9
Ajalon Gillard - 4 9.8 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.5 64 3.6 43.2 40.0 25.0 0 -0.66 50.0 50.0
Aubree Laney - 5 3.7 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 -3 -0.3 -2.2 25.0 0.0 0 -1.72 25.0 25.0
Anile Selmani - 3 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -16 -2.7 -125.9 0.0 0 0 -1.19 0.0 0.0
Ayden Smiddy - 4 2.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 4 0.5 17.6 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG