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Lincoln (MO)

Also known as: Lincoln (MO)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 890 (#384) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 916 (#420) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 874 (#549) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +2.4 (#199) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -0.1 (#332) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.603 (#284) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.6 More → 0.370 (#259) NetEff -5.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.0 More → 0.817 (#224) AdjNet +13.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.823 (#222) AdjNet +13.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.712 (#224) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 64.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.481 (#344) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.433 (#372) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.430 (#374) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 71 | GP 47 More → 895 (#373) RD 71 | GP 47

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs P.R.-Bayamon W 75 - 62
2025-11-14 vs Pitt.-Johnstown W 75 - 73
2025-11-15 @ Indiana (PA) L 57 - 82
2025-11-15 vs P.R.-Rio Piedras W 96 - 58
2025-11-17 vs Hannibal-La Grange W 69 - 44
2025-11-22 vs Queens (NY) L 60 - 62
2025-11-22 vs Emporia St. L 90 - 92
2025-11-29 vs Southwest Baptist W 77 - 68
2025-12-01 vs Missouri S&T L 87 - 99
2025-12-02 @ West Chester L 52 - 95
2025-12-04 @ Slippery Rock L 66 - 78
2025-12-04 @ Upper Iowa L 62 - 76
2025-12-06 @ Lewis L 47 - 56
2025-12-07 vs Cheyney W 85 - 77
2025-12-10 @ Fla. Southern L 63 - 97
2025-12-11 vs Haskell W 85 - 81
2025-12-12 @ Eckerd L 71 - 83
2025-12-15 vs Cent. Christian Bib. W 114 - 42
2025-12-15 vs Winston-Salem W 59 - 57
2025-12-17 vs Ark. Baptist W 69 - 61
2025-12-18 @ Clark Atlanta L 66 - 74
2025-12-19 vs Morehouse W 80 - 72
2025-12-20 vs Purdue Northwest L 74 - 81
2025-12-21 vs Livingstone W 73 - 63
2025-12-31 @ Wilmington (DE) W 78 - 73
2026-01-02 vs Truman St. L 57 - 59
2026-01-03 @ Queens (NY) W 82 - 63
2026-01-04 vs Quincy L 60 - 65
2026-01-05 vs Johnson C. Smith L 63 - 64
2026-01-08 @ Southwest Baptist L 62 - 70
2026-01-08 @ Shaw L 59 - 80
2026-01-10 @ Claflin L 76 - 78
2026-01-10 @ Drury L 79 - 85
2026-01-12 @ Fayetteville St. L 107 - 117
2026-01-17 vs Bowie St. W 77 - 73
2026-01-17 @ Mo.-St. Louis L 64 - 78
2026-01-21 vs Elizabeth City St. W 68 - 47
2026-01-22 vs Maryville (MO) W 86 - 67
2026-01-23 @ Bluefield St. L 62 - 65
2026-01-24 vs McKendree L 48 - 60
2026-01-28 @ Virginia St. L 70 - 87
2026-01-29 @ Ill. Springfield L 76 - 85
2026-01-31 @ UIndy L 73 - 101
2026-01-31 vs Virginia Union L 47 - 65
2026-02-05 vs Lewis W 84 - 68
2026-02-07 vs Upper Iowa W 72 - 65
2026-02-07 vs Virginia St. L 53 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Solomon Oraegbu - 19 28.8 19.9 5.4 1.5 0.9 0.2 2.4 15.2 10.4 55 2.9 24.5 44.4 31.9 87.0 1.99 55.8 48.3
Tyler Chapman - 17 30.9 14.4 2.9 3.2 0.9 0.2 2.1 13.6 5.9 -31 -1.8 -9.8 36.4 34.2 85.7 -1.5 50.1 47.6
Bonard Johnson - 23 23.6 13.3 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.0 2.4 11.7 6.1 -85 -3.5 -28.7 39.4 36.2 73.2 -3.23 50.2 45.7
Enari Thomas - 8 29.3 12.9 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.4 12.0 5.2 - - - 39.6 22.7 73.3 - 47.2 42.2
Julius Olanrewaju - 23 26.0 11.1 4.7 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.5 8.4 6.7 -155 -6.5 -41.2 48.2 31.5 88.7 -0.51 59.2 54.1
Ronald Bridges Jr - 23 22.4 10.8 4.0 1.0 0.9 0.0 1.7 7.5 7.6 - - - 50.9 36.4 72.6 - 60.7 56.6
Tyre Boykin - 1 24.2 10.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 31 1.6 9.5 42.9 100.0 60.0 -0.44 54.3 50.0
Abou Camara - 1 35.8 10.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 9.0 35 1.8 12.1 50.0 0 66.7 4.04 57.9 50.0
Malcolm Davis - 23 32.8 9.7 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.5 8.0 7.1 -13 -0.5 -3.9 36.6 35.0 87.0 -1.23 54.9 50.0
Khyelle Ingram - 1 14.3 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 4.0 16 0.8 4.8 57.1 0 0 -0.15 57.1 57.1
Jaiden Thompson - 1 27.2 8.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 6.0 -16 -0.9 -8.0 37.5 66.7 0 0.18 50.0 50.0
Matthieu Biembongo - 19 20.6 7.3 5.9 0.5 0.5 1.9 1.3 5.2 9.7 9 0.5 3.9 58.2 0.0 60.0 -2.09 59.7 58.2
Max Ekono - 23 29.6 7.0 8.4 2.3 0.6 0.4 1.9 5.0 11.9 33 1.4 9.4 44.3 37.0 82.7 -1.19 58.7 51.7
Isaiah Staton-Ray - 1 25.5 7.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 18 1.5 87.6 40.0 0.0 50.0 2.77 45.8 40.0
Amadou Fall - 22 22.5 6.8 5.4 1.2 0.4 2.5 1.7 5.9 8.7 -75 -3.3 -34.3 46.9 29.4 65.4 0.38 52.7 50.8
Jordan Sanders - 23 20.7 6.3 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.1 2.0 5.7 4.0 -63 -2.6 -19.5 37.7 32.5 74.1 -0.48 51.1 48.1
Masaun Moore-Bryant - 1 21.6 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 40 2.1 27.9 28.6 33.3 33.3 0.6 36.1 35.7
Draven Pilson - 23 17.5 5.9 2.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 6.4 1.7 -102 -4.2 -44.7 35.4 30.1 33.3 -1.89 45.8 45.9
D'Necco Rucker - 23 19.0 5.8 3.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.9 4.4 5.3 -32 -1.4 -20.7 46.1 38.6 71.0 0.17 57.5 54.4
Ginuwine Tropnas - 23 20.5 5.8 4.8 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.8 4.3 7.1 -46 -1.9 -17.4 49.0 0.0 54.3 -3.04 52.0 49.0
Amar Kadic - 18 10.6 5.0 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 4.9 2.3 -7 -0.4 -3.6 34.8 25.4 72.2 -0.91 46.4 43.3
Kesean Shillingford - 17 15.5 4.2 3.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.2 3.2 4.2 -86 -4.8 -50.3 53.7 0 58.3 -0.16 55.8 53.7
Robin Discamps - 22 9.7 4.0 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.7 3.5 2.7 41 2.0 73.8 33.3 32.1 76.9 -0.25 49.8 44.2
Elliott Yorke Jr - 7 6.1 3.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 2.3 - - - 50.0 41.7 33.3 - 63.5 65.6
Gian-Paul Anderson - 22 16.2 3.0 2.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 1.7 3.4 2.8 -14 -0.6 -14.4 27.0 22.5 89.5 -0.07 40.1 33.1
Ethan English - 1 12.8 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 39 2.6 17.7 100.0 0 100.0 1.11 104.2 100.0
Demetri Patterson - 1 15.1 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 17 0.9 15.5 33.3 100.0 0 -0.34 50.0 50.0
Rashad Williams - 23 10.9 2.8 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 2.0 3.6 12 0.5 18.0 63.0 0 63.6 -1.01 63.9 63.0
Justin Morgan - 16 12.2 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.8 3.1 1.7 -14 -3.5 -15.0 26.5 14.8 60.9 -0.47 37.2 30.6
Tyler Lucas - 16 13.8 2.8 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.1 1.2 -7 -0.4 -4.9 32.0 23.1 100.0 0.79 41.8 38.0
Isaiah Sutherland - 1 13.8 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -18 -1.5 -57.1 25.0 0 0 -1.23 25.0 25.0
Reumang Emagna - 3 8.1 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.7 - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 42.5 40.0
Yave Cruz - 4 2.5 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 -2 -0.5 -11.1 33.3 0.0 60.0 0.97 48.1 33.3
Tyleek Fields - 21 13.0 1.1 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.7 -52 -2.4 -25.8 32.3 0.0 30.8 0.36 32.7 32.3
Jahmire Brewer - 4 7.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 -1 -0.2 -2.5 25.0 0 0 0.98 25.0 25.0
Sterling Rivera - 11 12.4 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.2 0.0 0.5 1.2 3.4 54 5.4 48.4 7.7 0.0 72.7 -1.5 28.0 7.7
Lance Gill - 1 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -4.0 -45 -2.2 -14.7 0.0 0.0 0 -3.98 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG